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USD/CAD Classical 05.13

USD/CAD Classical 05.13

2010-05-13 05:21:00
Joel Kruger, Technical Strategist
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cad2

 

USD/CAD: It has been over a year since the market has traded above or even close to the 200-Day SMA, and the latest impressive surge has finally opened a break back above the longer-term moving average to potentially warn of a major shift in the structural outlook of the pair. We have consistently advocated for a higher rate, even with the market dropping below parity, and the recent move back above 1.0500 helps to solidify our bullish bias. The latest upside surge also seems to threaten the integrity of a downtrend from 2009, and a break of 1.0780 is what will be needed to force an acceleration of gains and officially confirm a shift in the longer-term structure. For now, look for the latest setbacks to be well supported on a close basis above 1.0100. A break back above 1.0250 will confirm and accelerate.

 

 

 

Written by Joel Kruger, Technical Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com 

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