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Weekly Trading Forecast: A New Front on Trade Wars Will Test Risk Trends, Dollar

Weekly Trading Forecast: A New Front on Trade Wars Will Test Risk Trends, Dollar

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See how retail traders are positioning in the FX majors, indices, gold and oil intraday using the DailyFX speculative positioning data on the sentiment page.

US Dollar Rally May Regain Momentum Amid Trade War Worries

The US Dollar may regain upward momentum as worries about escalating trade wars spur haven-seeking capital flows in the week ahead.

USD/JPY Breaks the June Bullish Trend Despite Continued Inflation Lag

After spending the first half of June running higher within a bullish channel, USD/JPY broke-back down below the vaulted psychological level of 110.00, even as inflation remained below one-percent.

GBP: Bullish Momentum Aided by Hawkish Bank of England

The Bank of England kept its benchmark rate unchanged with a vote of 6-3 at its meeting this past week. In the week ahead, the EU Summit will bring the focus back to Brexit as England's counterparts weigh progress thus far.

Australian Dollar’s 360 Degree Hammering Likely To Continue

The Australian Dollar cannot catch a break. Its home interest rates are going nowhere as trade-war risk aversion batters it from outside. This gloomy status quo seems unlikely to dissipate.

New Zealand Dollar May Fall on US Data and Trade Wars. Not RBNZ

The New Zealand Dollar may depreciate next week as the US Dollar gains on GDP and PCE data while trade war fears rise. Volatility may to be subdued on the RBNZ rate decision.

Yuan Weakness to Persist on RRR Cut Bets, Trade War; Equity Losses May Ease

Both the Chinese Yuan and Chinese equities tumbled this past week. Looking forward, the Yuan rate and Chinese stocks may continue to suffer from the intensified US-China trade war, with tit-for-tat attacks.

Gold Price Sell-off Deepens despite Rising Tariff, Trade War Concerns

The intensification of rhetoric between China and the U.S. has continued to weigh on market sentiment as investors weigh the impact of an all-out trade war between the world’s largest economies.

Crude Oil Forecast: Rising Trade War Tensions to Keep a Lid on Oil Price Gains

OPECagreed to increase output by 1mln bpd to reduce 'over compliance' with the current output agreement. Subsequently, WTI and Brent crude futures rose with the latter briefly above $75/bbl, given that markets had feared that OPEC would agree a larger production, while the 1mln bpd increase will likely represent a real increase of 600-700k bpd, which had been largely priced in.

S&P 500, DAX & FTSE - How Will Markets Repond to Weakness Next Week?

Last week, a big driver in markets was the trade war, but once again despite initial headlines hitting futures overnight, the down open was bought. Turning attention to the economic calendar, next week holds several ‘high’ impact data releases: Consumer Confidence on Tuesday, Durable Goods and Trade Balance on Wednesday, GDP on Thursday, and Core PCE on Friday.

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