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Real Time News
  • Fed's Bullard: - Better outlook is bringing real yields higher - 10yr yields now returning to their pre-pandemic levels - Would be concerned by disorderly trading, we're not at that point #Fed $USD
  • Commodities Update: As of 17:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 3.36% Gold: 0.26% Silver: -0.93% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/sJaGjPjtMd
  • Fed's Bullard: - Markets trust Fed to keep inflation under control - Would welcome inflation above 2% on a sustained basis - Ok if we were 0.5% above target for some time #Fed $USD
  • Fed's Bullard: - We have the right policy tools for the situation - Will wait and see on inflation as it has been too low in the past - May see more inflation in 2021 and 2022 than we're used to - Economy looks like it will be robust in 2021 #Fed $USD
  • Forex Update: As of 17:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇨🇦CAD: -0.07% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.20% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.25% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.60% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.66% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.80% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/NNanHtxT1n
  • Fed's Kashkari: - Uptick in real yields would give me concern, could warrant a policy response, but not seeing that - The 10yr real yield is basically flat from where it was last summer - Recent movements in Treasury markets suggest Fed's new framework is working #Fed $USD
  • Fed's Kashkari: - The Fed has powerful tools if inflation starts to climb - We are not concerned about the Fed's willingness to deal with high inflation, we need to get there first #Fed $USD
  • Fed's Kashkari: - The true unemployment rate is around 9.5% - It would be great to get back to full employment by 2023 - Full employment to me is when employment and wage growth are strong enough to get to 2% inflation #Fed $USD
  • Indices Update: As of 17:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: FTSE 100: 0.39% France 40: 0.30% Germany 30: 0.28% Wall Street: 0.09% US 500: -0.23% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/cTEQGqNWFV
  • $USDCHF is continuing to strengthen today, now trading above the 0.9300 level. The pair is currently at its highest point since last July after three weeks of continued strength, rising from 0.8900 in mid February to its current levels. $USD $CHF https://t.co/WCVGdCvLFq

Nick Cawley

Strategist

Expertise: Fundamental analysis and financial markets.

At DailyFX Since: 2016

Trading Style

  • Analytical Profile: Technical and Fundamental
  • Time Frame: Medium-Term (2 Days to 2 Weeks)
  • Type: Event-Driven

Can we guess your trading personality?

Experience

  • 20 years of experience trading fixed income products for a range of investment banks and brokers
  • 10 years of experience analyzing and writing about fixed income and foreign exchange markets, including Dow Jones and the Wall Street Journal
  • Present regular webinars and participate in market podcasts
  • Spoken at a range of in-house conferences around the globe

Education

  • Financial futures trader

Most Important Trading Lesson Learned

“You cannot change any market you trade in, but you can change the way you trade that market. Trading psychology and discipline is as important, if not more so, than fundamental and technical analysis and can help you ‘move the dial’ in your favor to become a better, more profitable, long-term trader.”

Recent Articles

Bitcoin (BTC/USD), Ethereum (ETH/USD) Rallying Sharply as the Bulls Wrestle Back Control
Bitcoin (BTC/USD), Ethereum (ETH/USD) Rallying Sharply as the Bulls Wrestle Back Control
2021-03-03 10:31:00
Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Struggling to Keep Hold of 1.2000 as the US Dollar Pullback Continues
Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Struggling to Keep Hold of 1.2000 as the US Dollar Pullback Continues
2021-03-02 10:10:00
British Pound (GBP) Latest: GBP/USD Trending Lower Ahead of This Week's Budget
British Pound (GBP) Latest: GBP/USD Trending Lower Ahead of This Week's Budget
2021-03-01 09:00:00
Euro Technical Outlook: EUR/USD and EUR/GBP Prices and Forecasts
2021-02-27 04:00:00
Gold Price (XAU/USD) Outlook - Treading on Thin Ice as US Treasury Yields Heat Up
2021-02-26 12:00:00
US Treasury Yields Rally Further Putting Additional Pressure on Technology Stocks
2021-02-25 10:24:00
Euro Price Outlook - Stuck in Sideways Pattern for Now, Pushing Against Resistance
2021-02-24 09:41:00
Bitcoin (BTC/USD), Ethereum (ETH/USD) Crushed as Cryptocurrency Market is Overrun by Sellers
2021-02-23 10:30:00
Markets Week Ahead: Dow Jones, US Dollar, Crude Oil, Fed, Treasuries, NZD/USD, RBNZ
2021-02-22 13:30:00
British Pound (GBP) Latest: UK Government to Unveil Plans for Lifting Lockdown Restrictions
2021-02-22 09:00:00
Markets Week Ahead: Dow Jones, US Dollar, Crude Oil, Fed, Treasuries, NZD/USD, RBNZ
2021-02-21 21:00:00
British Pound (GBP) Outlook: GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Weekly Forecasts
2021-02-20 22:00:00
Crude Oil Volatility May Increase as Iran - US Stand-Off Continues
2021-02-19 12:30:00
US Dollar Holding Recent Gains, EUR/USD Remains Under Pressure
2021-02-18 11:30:00
Gold Price Outlook - Slumping Into Important Support Levels as US Bond Yields Jump
2021-02-17 10:30:00

Recent tweets

nickcawley1 Mar 3, 2021
Last week's gold report...' $1,743/oz. may prove temporary support ahead of $1,700/oz big figure support and ahead of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $1,689.7/oz.' #gold https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/02/26/Gold-Price-XAUUSD-Outlook-Treading-on-Thin-Ice-as-US-Treasury-Yields-Heat-Up.html
nickcawley1 Mar 3, 2021
Gilt yields on the rise as DMO issuance in 2021/2 jumps to GBP296 billion, busting estimates of GBP250 billion #gilts #DMO https://t.co/D6i9U4mU5c
2021-03-03 14:42:22
nickcawley1 Mar 3, 2021
FTSE 250 - interesting to see if this breaks the multi-year high post-Budget. #budget #ftse @DailyFX Chart & price via @IGcom https://t.co/VMV1mehgN9
2021-03-03 09:00:05
nickcawley1 Mar 3, 2021
Preparing for the next leg higher??...#btc #bitcoin #eth #ltc https://t.co/HOMv0Wc9dW
2021-03-03 08:18:53
nickcawley1 Mar 1, 2021
Thanks as always @JeremyNaylor_IG https://t.co/WALxUC2Ug8
Mar 5, 2021