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  • I read this morning that Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren is retiring 9 months earlier than his term expiration due to health issues. Hope he recovers quickly. Could change the calculus for the Fed's policy position next year as he was an incoming hawkish voter. #Tapering
  • The next 24 hours is going to be interesting for monetary and fiscal policy insight - particularly in the US. Keeping tabs on the Dollar and $SPX
  • BoE Governor Bailey says the rate of recovery has slowed over recent months and that slowing is continuing - Most MPC members view that outlook for the labour market as highly uncertain and to some degree likely to be resolved in fairly short order $GBP
  • The week starts off with elevated expectations for seasonal volatility, central bank speculation and critical political uncertainties. DailyFX's @JohnKicklighter highlights the dominating themes in the markets this week👇
  • Heads Up:🇬🇧 BoE Gov Bailey Speech due at 15:00 GMT (15min)
  • Tech stocks not having a good day, but cyclicals are on fire. Energy and financials sharply higher, materials also in positive territory. $ARKK about to break a double top pattern support #trading $XLE $XOP $XLF $XLB
  • Treasury bond yields extending their push higher across the curve. Ten-year just pierced 1.50%, five-year trading at its steepest level since Feb 2020. This brings the Nasdaq 100 to Russell 2000 ratio into focus with growth underperforming value amid rising rates. $NDX $RUT $TNX
  • $USDMXN gains ground at the start of the week, bolstered by higher US Treasury rates. For reference, the US10 yield briefly climbed to 1.51% this morning, its highest level since late June #trading #TRMX
  • The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trending higher and on the verge of testing an important set of resistance levels as we head towards the final frame of the year. Get your $USD market update from @PaulRobinsonFX here:
Weekly Trading Forecast: War Worries May Overshadow Key Data Flow

Weekly Trading Forecast: War Worries May Overshadow Key Data Flow

Financial markets may be forced away from focusing on a slew of top-tier economic news as fiery rhetoric continues to flow from Washington DC in the week ahead.

US Dollar Forecast: US Dollar Torn Between Geopolitical Fears, Fed Policy Bets

The US Dollar is torn between the influence of Fed policy speculation and geopolitical risk as key economic news prints against a backdrop of fiery rhetoric from the US and North Korea.

Euro Forecast: Euro Awaits Heavier Calendar to Break the Summer Lull

After two weeks of few meaningful economic data releases, the Euro will see data releases each day this week. Market positioning remains stretched, however, which remains an impediment.

British Pound Forecast: Starting to Behave Like a 'Risk-On' Currency

The performance of the British Pound over the past week suggests it is trading like a currency investors will shun if the US spat with North Korea continues to worsen.

Japanese Yen Forecast: Risk Aversion Envelopes the Yen as Geopolitical Risk Flares

The Japanese Yen put in a move of strength as tensions increased between the U.S. and North Korea. But there are setups on both sides to work with either a continuation or a reversal of risk aversion in JPY.

Australian Dollar Forecast: Australian Dollar Caught Between Investor Appetite, RBA

The Australian Dollar looks a little stuck between a central bank that doesn’t want to see more gains and an investment community that would probably like to buy.

New Zealand Dollar Forecast: NZD Sits in Oversold Territory And May Remain There Longer

The recent jawboning by RBNZ assistant governor John McDermott sent the Kiwi lower despite the central bank’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged.

Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Rebound to Unravel on Less-Hawkish FOMC Minutes

USD/CAD may exhibit a more bearish behavior in the week ahead should key developments coming out of the U.S. economy dampen bets for higher interest rates.

Chinese Yuan Forecast: Yuan Eyes on PBOC's Guidance, Private Investment

The primary driver to the Yuan rate has been the PBOC’s guidance over the past week. With the recently added counter-cyclical factor, the reference rate seems to show greater influence to markets.

Equities Forecast: S&P 500, DAX, and FTSE 100 Skating on Thin Ice     

Global equity markets are in a perilous position, how they respond after last will be important.

Gold Forecast: Gold Prices Fueld by Fire & Fury

Prices surged this week as rising geo-political tensions and falling risk appetite fueled demand. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter next week.

Crude Oil Forecast: Crude Oil Fails To Hold Above $50 Despite Fundamental Support

Crude Oil fell back to earth this week, but there remain positive developments such as record gasoline demand and falling supplies.

Weekly Trading Forecast: War Worries May Overshadow Key Data Flow

See what live coverage is scheduled to cover key event risk for the FX and capital markets on the DailyFX Webinar Calendar.

See how retail traders are positioning in the majors using the IG Client Sentiment readings on the sentiment page.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.