News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bearish
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • https://t.co/YTOXNyrBZE https://t.co/zRNJaBLgZv
  • The break higher in Silver (XAGUSD) gaining more credibility - taking out the resistance/support apex. #silver #xagusd @DailyFXTeam From yesterday...https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2020/10/19/Silver-Price-XAGUSD-Rallying-Through-Short-Term-Trend-Resistance.html
  • Forex Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇪🇺EUR: 0.56% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.44% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.44% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.11% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.27% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.39% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/A1GsRRTQgf
  • Indices Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: US 500: 0.70% Wall Street: 0.64% FTSE 100: 0.32% France 40: 0.18% Germany 30: -0.51% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/V0Dhx8n8ES
  • Heads Up:🇺🇸 Fed Quarles Speech due at 14:50 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-10-20
  • GBP/USD will likely continue to trade in a narrow range as the UK continues to argue that there is no point in resuming the post-Brexit trade talks with the EU. Get your $GBPUSD market update from @MartinSEssex here:https://t.co/zh4rKXXE0M https://t.co/SP9iZ6YHIM
  • $AUDCAD breakdown still running https://t.co/N6MrmrODwA https://t.co/vA4zjMBWr0
  • Commodities Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 0.99% Gold: -0.14% Oil - US Crude: -0.59% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/M5wtVYrcP8
  • FTSE 100 - All 3 simple moving averages about to converge, add the 38.2% fib retracement and some ultra low vol (ATR)...this one's getting ready for a breakout...#ftse #ftse100 @DailyFX https://t.co/0A2QrBjISd
  • Nas 100 trying to find some balance at this zone of prior resistance $Nasdaq $Nas $QQQ https://t.co/vnrqmPsLmV
Sterling Technical Analysis: GBPUSD Moves Out of Oversold Territory

Sterling Technical Analysis: GBPUSD Moves Out of Oversold Territory

2019-05-28 15:30:00
James Stanley, Strategist
Share:

Sterling, GBPUSD Talking Points:

Do you want to see how retail traders are currently trading the US Dollar? Check out our IG Client Sentiment Indicator.

GBPUSD Bears Take a Break as Daily RSI Moves out of Oversold

Last week saw a punishing move continue in GBPUSD as the pair pushed down to fresh four-month lows, crossing a big zone of prior support in the process. The headlines were not friendly to GBP bulls, as continued discord around Brexit increased the opacity around what’s become an acrimonious theme in global markets. And while this week brings perhaps even less clarity, as we don’t even know who will be leading the UK through Brexit; a bit of hope has developed on the long side of the British Pound, driven by an oversold reading in GBPUSD combined with the recent resignation announcement of PM, Theresa May.

At this point, GBPUSD is pushing out of oversold territory on the Daily chart. The last time this happened in August of last year, prices inclined by more than 600 pips over the next five weeks; even with the worrisome backdrop remaining around the Brexit theme at the time.

GBPUSD Daily Price Chart

sterling gbp gbpusd gbp/usd gbp usd price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

GBPUSD: Short-Term Resistance Showing at Prior Support

At this point, near-term price action is holding resistance around a key zone of prior support. This area has three different Fibonacci levels of note, with the 1.2671 price as the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the ‘Brexit move’ in the pair. The level of 1.2705 helped to hold yesterday’s swing-high, and that’s the 14.4% retracement of the 2014-2016 major move. And at 1.2721, we have the 14.4% retracement of last year’s sell-off. This zone held support in August and October of last year, only succumbing to selling pressure in December as risk-aversion themes were running at near-full blast. But, as risk recovered after the 2019 open, prices pushed back-above this key zone and have remained there until last week’s test below.

GBPUSD Eight-Hour Price Chart

gbpusd gbp usd gbp/usd sterling price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

GBPUSD: Beware Bear Traps

Resistance at a prior area of key support is, in and of itself, a fairly attractive observation for bearish strategies. Context, however, remains important, as last week’s test of fresh lows comes amidst an oversold situation in the British Pound that may be due for a deeper retracement. Of note, the bearish momentum that punctuated the backdrop for much of May trade has been broken. Prices appear to be trying to cauterize higher-low support.

And while this may not necessarily get GBPUSD bulls excited just yet, it may be enough to put bearish strategies on the sidelines until a deeper retracement might show. This can place emphasis on deeper resistance potential; such as 1.2825 or perhaps even as deep as the confluent 1.2900 handle, which helped to arrest an aggressive decline previously in April. That area syncs well with the 50% retracement of the May sell-off, so if prices do break above that key zone on the chart, bullish backdrops may become a bit more attractive.

GBPUSD Four-Hour Price Chart

gbp usd gbp/usd gbpusd four hour price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley

To read more:

Are you looking for longer-term analysis on the U.S. Dollar? Our DailyFX Forecasts have a section for each major currency, and we also offer a plethora of resources on Gold or USD-pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD. Traders can also stay up with near-term positioning via our IG Client Sentiment Indicator.

Forex Trading Resources

DailyFX offers an abundance of tools, indicators and resources to help traders. For those looking for trading ideas, our IG Client Sentiment shows the positioning of retail traders with actual live trades and positions. Our trading guides bring our DailyFX Quarterly Forecasts and our Top Trading Opportunities; and our real-time news feed has intra-day interactions from the DailyFX team. And if you’re looking for real-time analysis, our DailyFX Webinars offer numerous sessions each week in which you can see how and why we’re looking at what we’re looking at.

If you’re looking for educational information, our New to FX guide is there to help new(er) traders while our Traits of Successful Traders research is built to help sharpen the skill set by focusing on risk and trade management.

--- Written by James Stanley, Strategist for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES