Weekly Trading Forecast: Trade Wars Rise Again, How will World Fare?
Just as it seemed the markets were settling from their fears over escalating trade wars, the flames were fanned to close the week. How will risk trends evolve into the coming week amid regular data flow?
The US Dollar started Q2 on a bright note, but a disappointing NFP report reversed a large portion of this week’s gains, and DXY remains near the 90.00 level as we approach the release of March inflation numbers.
Behind the salacious trade war headlines, the Euro is facing a difficult reality: it may be too big for its britches. The Euro trade-weighted index is up by +9.1% over the past year, and its ongoing strength may be filtering through into data.
Sterling traders will need to cognizant of developments in other markets as the UK data calendar is thin and will provide no direction.
The Australian economy is not doing badly, but its currency remains mired thanks to low interest rates and –fairly or not- US/China trade worries
Chinese Yuan Forecast: Yuan at Risk amid US-China Tariff Attacks, Multilateral Trade Disputes
The US-China trade war will continue to drive Yuan moves. In addition, it seems that more countries have joined the battles.
Crude oil prices are in for a week loaded with event risk. We have the International Energy Forum, OPEC’s monthly oil report and ongoing developments on US/China trade relations.
Equities Forecast: S&P 500, DAX & FTSE - Global Markets at Risk of Another Swoon
Last week was a volatile week, expect more of the same in the week ahead; how the S&P 500 handles major support will dictate whether we see another swoon soon set in.
Gold nudged higher this week but the jury is still out on whether a near-term low is in. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter from here.
See what live coverage is scheduled to cover key event risk for the FX and capital markets on the DailyFX Webinar Calendar.
See how retail traders are positioning in the majors using the IG Client Sentiment readings on the sentiment page.