News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • Trading bias allows traders to make informative decisions when dealing in the market. This relates to both novice and experienced traders alike. Start learning how you may be able to make more informed decisions here: https://t.co/rz7fqhRoMG https://t.co/htGig0qBIv
  • (Oil Briefing) Crude Oil, Energy Stocks Sink on Fed Commentary. WTI at Risk to Technicals #CrudeOil #WTI #Fed https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/commodities/2021/08/05/Crude-Oil-Energy-Stocks-Sink-on-Fed-Commentary-WTI-at-Risk-to-Technicals.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/g24G2cNeIW
  • 🇳🇱 Inflation Rate YoY (JUL) Actual: 1.4% Expected: 1.6% Previous: 2% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-08-05
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 93.96%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 78.94%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/ckOcIy4HK4
  • The US Dollar could lose some ground against ASEAN currencies such as the Singapore Dollar and Thai Baht amid slowing Emerging Asia Covid case growth. Softer US NFPs may also bode well.Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/jnJ80hQR4P https://t.co/x37yml0Cow
  • Forex Update: As of 04:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇦🇺AUD: 0.18% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.11% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.09% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.01% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.08% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.19% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/as8Ba27Vtx
  • Heads Up:🇳🇱 Inflation Rate YoY (JUL) due at 04:30 GMT (15min) Expected: 1.6% Previous: 2% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-08-05
  • Indices Update: As of 04:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: US 500: 0.18% Wall Street: 0.17% Germany 30: 0.07% FTSE 100: 0.05% France 40: 0.02% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/o3SdNfYFba
  • Wall Street Futures Update: Dow Jones (+0.17%) S&P 500 (+0.17%) Nasdaq 100 (+0.10%) [delayed] -BBG
  • Heads Up:🇮🇩 GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q2) due at 04:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 6.57% Previous: -0.74% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-08-05
USD/CAD Price Outlook: Rally Stalls at Critical Resistance Zone

USD/CAD Price Outlook: Rally Stalls at Critical Resistance Zone

Michael Boutros, Strategist

The US Dollar is testing a critical resistance confluence against the Canadian Dollar and leaves the broader uptrend vulnerable into the start of the year. These are the updated targets and invalidation levels that matter on the USD/USD charts.

New to Forex Trading? Get started with this Free Beginners Guide

USD/CAD Daily Price Chart

USD/CAD Daily Price Chart

Technical Outlook: In my latest USD/CAD Weekly Technical Outlook we noted that the price breakout was, “accelerating towards the next major confluence resistance zone at the 61.8% retracement of the 2016 decline / 2017 high-week close at 1.3647/86.” Note that the 61.8% slope line of the broader 2017 ascending pitchfork formation also converges on this region into the start of the month and further highlights its technical significance.

Interim support rests with the median-line (currently ~1.3450s) backed closely by the October channel support / 2017 open at 1.3435- a break / close below this region would suggest that a larger price correction may be underway with such a scenario targeting the 38.2% retracement at 1.3328.

Learn how to Trade with Confidence in our Free Trading Guide

USD/CAD 240min Price Chart

USD/CAD 240min Price Chart

Notes: A closer look at price action highlights the October channel with USD/CAD carving out a weekly opening-range just below slope resistance. A break below 1.3565 would risk a deeper pullback here targeting the lower parallels at ~1.35 and 1.3535- look for a bigger reaction there for guidance IF reached. A breach above channel resistance would be needed to mark resumption of the broader uptrend targeting subsequent topside objectives at 1.3793.

Even the most seasoned traders need a reminder every now and then- Avoid these Mistakes in your trading

Bottom line: The USD/CAD rally is vulnerable near-term while below 1.3685. From a trading standpoint, I’ll favor fading weakness while below this region targeting a move towards the lower parallel. Ultimately, a larger setback may offer more favorable long-entries closer to daily slope support.

For a complete breakdown of Michael’s trading strategy, review his Foundations of Technical Analysis series on Building a Trading Strategy

USD/CAD Trader Sentiment

USD/CAD Trader Sentiment
  • A summary of IG Client Sentiment shows traders are net-short USD/CAD - the ratio stands at -----5.64 (15.1% of traders are long) – bullishreading
  • Traders have remained net-short since October 9th; price has moved 4.2% higher since then
  • Long positions are15.6% higher than yesterday and 5.7% higher from last week
  • Short positions are 0.8% lower than yesterday and 2.0% higher from last week
  • We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests USD/CAD prices may continue to rise. Yet traders are less net-short than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current USD/CAD price trend may soon reverse lower despite the fact traders remain net-short.

See how shifts in USD/CAD retail positioning are impacting trend- Learn more about sentiment!

---

Relevant USD/CAD Data Releases

USD/CAD Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar - latest economic developments and upcoming event risk. Learn more about how we Trade the News in our Free Guide!

Active Trade Setups

- Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

Follow Michael on Twitter @MBForex

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES