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  • $EURGBP is currently testing around the 0.8910 level, an area that has served as a key level of resistance this week. $EUR $GBP https://t.co/Uc34HhPjVD
  • 🇨🇦 Retail Sales MoM (NOV) Actual: 1.3 Expected: 0.1% Previous: 0.4% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-22
  • What are some factors affecting the USD this quarter? Get your free forecast here: https://t.co/7G7pWntiyY #DailyFXGuides https://t.co/QRHi5s8Vm8
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  • 🇲🇽 Mid-month Inflation Rate YoY (JAN) Actual: 3.33% Expected: 3.17% Previous: 3.22% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-22
  • 🇲🇽 Mid-month Inflation Rate YoY (JAN) Actual: 3.33 Expected: 3.17% Previous: 3.22% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-22
BOC Rate Decision: What Does it Mean for USD/CAD?

BOC Rate Decision: What Does it Mean for USD/CAD?

Austin Sealey, Contributor

BOC Rate Decision Talking Points:

Bank of Canada Hold Rates Steady in April

Canada’s central bank held the benchmark overnight lending rate steady at 0.25% this morning - in line with the expectation. Canada’s overnight rate is now 1.50% lower than it was prior to the initial cut in early March.

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BOC Interest Rates

Chart Prepared by Austin Sealey; Canada Overnight Lending Rate

Following the emergency rate cut to close Q1, BOC has remained steady at 0.25% in a decision to avoid further approaching a negative rate. While rates have held, the much anticipated OPEC+ deal to cut some 20M B/D has done little to calm investor’s worries over the battered commodity. This could be a driver for CAD weakness as the month continues to unfold.

USD/CAD MIXED
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of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily -23% 6% -16%
Weekly 2% -5% 0%
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USD/CAD Four-Hour Price Chart

USD/CAD Four-Hour Price Chart

Chart Prepared by Austin Sealey; USD/CAD on TradingView

Although the Canadian Dollar has been continuing to show strength since late March, certain markets such as CAD/JPY have begun to unravel. USD/CAD has been putting in lower highs and lower lows for the better portion of the past month; meanwhile, CAD/JPY has still remained nearly 2.5% off of March highs. That being said, the Canadian Dollar has nonetheless broken under much macro pressure. After retesting monthly lows, USD/CAD price action appeared to be forming a double bottom pattern, and is currently 1.70% above monthly lows.

--Written by Austin Sealey, Contributor for DailyFX.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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