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AUD/USD Selling Eases, GBP/USD Drops on Carney, CAD Eyes BoC's Poloz - US Market Open

AUD/USD Selling Eases, GBP/USD Drops on Carney, CAD Eyes BoC's Poloz - US Market Open

2020-01-09 14:05:00
Justin McQueen, Analyst
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MARKET DEVELOPMENT –AUD/USD Selling Eases, GBP/USD Drops on Carney, CAD Eyes BoC's Poloz

GBP: Sterling is among the laggards in the G10 complex following dovish comments by BoE Governor Carney, which in turn has seen a modest repricing of near-term easing bets with the risk of a January cut rising to 16% from 5%.However, with little in the way of notable new information, GBP/USD has pulled off recent lows. Keep in mind that January 30th will be Carney’s final monetary policy meeting. (full analysis)

GBP/USD BEARISH
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Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily 7% -5% 2%
Weekly 6% -16% -3%
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AUD: Selling in the Australian Dollar has abated as the currency finds a lift from cross-related buying in AUD/NZD. Although, eyes will be on the retail sales overnight, which are expected to rise 0.4% from a prior of 0.0%. Of note, risks are tilted to the upside for the November retail sales report, given seasonal effects stemming from black Friday.

CAD: Eyes will be on BoC Governor Poloz at 19:00GMT (14:00ET) who is scheduled to take part in a fireside chat. There is a risk that the Governor could provide a more cautious outlook from a domestic standpoint following the recent economic growth data, where Canada showed a contraction in growth for the first time in 8 months at -0.1%. Elsewhere, focus will also be on the Canadian jobs report on Jan 10th and Business Outlook Survey on Jan 13th. USD/CAD has continued to steady reversal since bottoming out at 1.2950, thus a move to 1.3100 is on the cards, particularly on a cautious Poloz.

AUD/USD Selling Eases, GBP/USD Drops on Carney, CAD Eyes BoC's Poloz - US Market Open

Source: DailyFX, Refinitiv

Economic Calendar (09/01/20)

AUD/USD Selling Eases, GBP/USD Drops on Carney, CAD Eyes BoC's Poloz - US Market Open

Source: DailyFX,

WHAT’S DRIVING MARKETS TODAY

  1. EUR/USD Price Forecast: Support Levels Break as New Year Sell-Off Continues” by Nick Cawley, Market Analyst
  2. GBP/USD Outlook Breaks Down on Dovish Carney, BoE Rate Cut Odds Jump” by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst
  3. Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Risks Catapulting Higher as Reversal Unfolds” by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst

--- Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst

To contact Justin, email him at Justin.mcqueen@ig.com

Follow Justin on Twitter @JMcQueenFX

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