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  • Fed's Bostic: - Economy is currently in a rough patch, recovery has been very uneven - GDP rebound has happened faster than employment rebound - Optimistic that vaccinations will drive faster job growth - Fed's mandate focuses on employment, not GDP #Fed $USD
  • Yields on the US 10y Treasury tightened slightly following strong durable goods orders and lower than expected jobless claims prints, falling from 1.46% to 1.44%. $USD $GOVT https://t.co/rNYUqJe7AE
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  • 🇺🇸 GDP Price Index QoQ 2nd Est (Q4) Actual: 1.8% Expected: 2% Previous: 3.3% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-02-25
  • 🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims (20/FEB) Actual: 730K Expected: 838K Previous: 841K https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-02-25
  • 🇺🇸 Jobless Claims 4-week Average (FEB/20) Actual: 807.75K Previous: 828.25K https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-02-25
  • 🇺🇸 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est (Q4) Actual: 4.1% Expected: 4.2% Previous: 33.4% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-02-25
  • 🇨🇦 Average Weekly Earnings YoY (DEC) Actual: 6.4% Previous: 6.6% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-02-25
  • 🇺🇸 Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM (JAN) Actual: 1.4% Expected: 0.7% Previous: 1.7% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-02-25
  • 🇺🇸 Durable Goods Orders MoM (JAN) Actual: 3.4% Expected: 1.1% Previous: 1.2% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-02-25
Weekly Fundamental Forecast: Recession and Brexit Worries face QE and Trade Talk Hopes

Weekly Fundamental Forecast: Recession and Brexit Worries face QE and Trade Talk Hopes

Risk trends still have the fundamental winds to their back, and speculatively-dependent assets such as equities and commodities have benefited. Yet, the balance of power and themes into the second quarter looks far less convincing than how markets have performed.

Trying to untangle trade wars and unequipped central banks ramping up stimulus doesn’t balance against fear of recession and events like Brexit.

Crude Oil Forecast: Crude Oil May be Overextended, But Watch Out For Trade Headlines

Crude oil prices remain supported by supply cuts and trade deal hopes even as the economic data have proven disappointing. That support could wane a little this week

British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Rate Threatens Bull Trend Ahead of Brexit Deadline

The British Pound may face a more bearish fate ahead of the Brexit deadline in April as the GBP/USD exchange rate threatens the upward trend from late last year

US Dollar Forecast: US Dollar May Rise as Sentiment Succumbs to Potent Headwinds

The US Dollar may rise, spurned on by haven-seeking capital flows as risk appetite finally succumbs to a broad assortment of potent headwinds.

Gold Forecast: Gold Price Outlook Bearish as USD May Rise on Soft Econ Data, RBA

Gold prices could be weighed down if the US Dollar rises in risk aversion on soft economic data. Other hazards for the precious metal include a more dovish RBA and Brexit updates.

Euro Forecast: New Month, Quarter Bring EZ Inflation, Brexit Latest, US NFPs

The first week of a new month and a new quarter typically brings the usual smattering of important economic data releases and events, and the first week of April and Q2’19 is no different.

Equities Forecast: Dow Jones, FTSE 100, DAX 30 and ASX 200 Fundamental Forecast

The Dow Jones will look to a slew of economic data out of the United States while the FTSE and DAX await Brexit clarification. Elsewhere, the ASX 200 awaits a rate decision from the RBA.

Weekly Fundamental Forecast: Recession and Brexit Worries face QE and Trade Talk Hopes

See what live coverage is scheduled to cover key event risk for the FX and capital markets on the DailyFX Webinar Calendar.

See how retail traders are positioning in the majors using the IG Client Sentiment readings on the sentiment page.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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