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Weekly Trading Forecast: The Risk Rebound Continues as Dollar Avoids Collapse

Weekly Trading Forecast: The Risk Rebound Continues as Dollar Avoids Collapse

Volatility continues to settle from the extraordinary activity of the previous two months. Confidence is finding a foothold, but will it hold out given the backdrop and key event risk like Chinese 3Q GDP?

US Dollar Forecast - Dollar’s Bearish Spark Fails to Power Trend as Risk and Fed Balance

The Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (ticker = USDollar) suffered a distinctive and bearish technical break of 2015’s carefully contained congestion this past week. Yet, the speculative bait wasn’t taken by the market.

Euro Forecast - EUR/USD Rallies May Be Capped with ECB Meeting This Week

The European Central Bank isn’t too keen on a strong EUR/USD, and in light of recent economic data and financial market developments, may seek to enhance its dovish policy intentions.

British Pound Forecast – Mixed Bag of UK Data with a Weak US Dollar Drives GBP/USD Higher

Last week the Bank of England struck a cautious tone as global growth concerns raised enough red flags for the Monetary Policy Committee to vote 8-1 in favor of keeping rates flat at .5%.

Japanese Yen Forecast – USD/JPY Decline to Eye August Low on Japan Trade Surplus, Dovish Fed

The key event risks due out next week may heighten the appeal of the Japanese Yen and fuel a further decline in USD/JPY should the developments undermine speculation for a further expansion in the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) asset-purchase program.

Australian Dollar Forecast – Australian Dollar at Risk as China Data Stokes RBA Rate Cut Bets

The Australian Dollar may turn lower after hitting a two-month high as soft Chinese GDP data amplifies swelling RBA interest rate cut speculation.

Gold Forecast – China GDP, Fed Rhetoric to Steer Gold Breakout - $1151 Now Support

Gold prices are higher for a second consecutive week with the precious metal up 2.33% to trade at 1183 ahead of the New York close on Friday.

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