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Started trading in options in 2000 and expanded to FX in 2002
Has worked with DailyFX since attending college in 2004 starting with an internship
Has spoken at numerous trader expos and conferences over the years
Bachelor’s degree cum laude in in Finance and Investment degree the Zicklin School of Business at Baruch College in New York City
Most Important Trading Lesson Learned
“We spend so much time focusing on our ‘edge’ and eventually we move on to work in risk and positioning management. Over so many years, though, I find that the most important progress I’ve made was through working on my own behavior or psychology. A sound analysis to establish probabilities is straightforward, but our perspective and interpretations are rarely so clear cut.“
I tend to bring this up every couple of years, but the SF Fed has a 'Chair the Fed' game (https://t.co/4nMYPgiNQW) where you can make policy decisions through hypothetical economic scenarios. I wonder what the game's algorithm would say about our current situation...
...and before you say "this already happens" (natural skeptics) or "central banks are just focusing on the economy"; if the market's believe it, they will respond accordingly. And, what happens when markets start to fall uncontrolled and markets realize the Fed can't stop it
The Nasdaq is going to be looking over the ledge tomorrow on the open tomorrow. What's the likelihood that the Fed is going to do another 'inflation is transitory' roadshow? If the markets start to genuinely believe the central bank is attempting prop the markets up...dangerous. https://t.co/44pbF9w49t
We've taken out short-term support on $SPX. Bigger levels below though. For this index, it is 4,000. For the Nasdaq 100, which has a floor more immediately at hand, it is 13,000 https://t.co/KeHxTw81Ht
The Dollar's rebound following the CPI release is re-forming the 'right shoulder' on the $AUDUSD's Head-and-Shoulders pattern that has been developing throughout 2021. Run up started with the Mar 19, 2020 reversal low, so a lot to correct if 0.7550 eventually gives https://t.co/NrAU370cwl
I don't envy the Fed officials today. These headline and core CPI figures are going to be distressing. Maintaining the 'inflation is transitory' view is the central bank equivalency of HODL or diamond hands https://t.co/jm99h6f89u
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