News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Mixed
Gold
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • GBP/USD continues to fail around the 1.3400 level and is unlikely to make a confirmed break higher ahead of any trade talk confirmation. Get your $GBPUSD technical analysis from @nickcawley1 here:https://t.co/EWLFXK1q3q https://t.co/4XSSNxobMo
  • The Gold price sell-off has broken below key technical barriers and leaves the outlook for XAU/USD weighted to the downside heading into the close of the month. Get your $XAUUSD technical analysis from @MBForex here:https://t.co/3YLcAFlr5f https://t.co/1uFb9UkDvV
  • Commodities Update: As of 19:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 1.48% Gold: -1.28% Silver: -2.80% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/OvThGydQBs
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 93.65%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 78.02%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/Yq6wLxhblV
  • Vaccine Optimism Sparks 28% Increase in Oil Prices. Get your #crudeoil market update from @JMcQueenFX here:https://t.co/F3AlSkniXk https://t.co/qevY4Gh6o9
  • Indices Update: As of 19:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: FTSE 100: 0.51% US 500: 0.47% Wall Street: 0.26% Germany 30: -0.15% France 40: -0.19% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/wxM2SJQrDE
  • EUR/GBP IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now net-short EUR/GBP for the first time since Nov 20, 2020 15:00 GMT when EUR/GBP traded near 0.89. A contrarian view of crowd sentiment points to EUR/GBP strength. https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/ouaMBSjKk2
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 93.75%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 77.98%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/mXHYu1zN9M
  • Commodities Update: As of 17:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 1.59% Gold: -1.39% Silver: -3.23% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/xchHegk5kh
  • $BTCUSD technical resistance in action. . . #Bitcoin https://t.co/sC21sU5jiX https://t.co/KQdwWtMUNr
China's Market News: USD/CNH Eyes on PBOC Guidance after Trump Wins

China's Market News: USD/CNH Eyes on PBOC Guidance after Trump Wins

2016-11-09 19:20:00
Renee Mu, Currency Analyst
Share:

This daily digest focuses on Yuan rates, major Chinese economic data, market sentiment, new developments in China’s foreign exchange policies, changes in financial market regulations, as well as market news typically available only in Chinese-language sources.

- The Dollar/Yuan focus in the coming session shifts to the PBOC’s guidance after Trump wins the presidency.

- Outflows of Foreign Direct Investment to Chinese financial institutions exceeded inflows in the third quarter.

- The NDRC launched multiple measures to curb soaring prices in the housing sector and commodities markets.

To receive reports from this analyst,sign up for Renee Mu’ distribution list.

Yuan Rates

- The U.S. election dominated Dollar/Yuan moves over the past 24 hours. The initial response to Trump’s win was risk aversion, with the U.S. Dollar plunging against its counterparts including the Yuan; the implied probability of Fed raising rates in December dropped to below 50%. However, a few hours later, the U.S. Dollar bounced up with recovered expectations on the December Fed rate hike. As of 1:30pm EST, the Dollar has eased earlier losses and managed gains against the Yuan, with the USD/CNH touching 6.8317, the new record high.

The offshore Dollar/Yuan pair broke the key level of 6.8108 during the New York session. Traders will want to keep eye on the PBOC’s guidance on Thursday, as it may determine whether the pair can hold above this key level. On Wednesday, the Central Bank issued the Yuan fix before Trump’s win was confirmed; the Chinese regulator only weakened the Yuan slightly against the Dollar, by 15 pips to 6.7832.

USD/CNH 15-minutes

China's Market News: USD/CNH Eyes on PBOC Guidance after Trump Wins

Prepared by Renee Mu.

Market News

China Finance Information: a finance online media administrated by Xinhua Agency.

- Outflows of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Chinese financial institutions exceeded inflows in the third quarter, the first time since China’s foreign exchange regulator, SAFE, began to report this kind of data in 2012. The net outflows were 15.43 billion Yuan ($2.315 billion). This is consistent with other measures of China’s capital flows, such as foreign reserves and the total outstanding funds for foreign exchange; all the gauges signal outward capital flows from China. The uneased capital outflow pressure reduces the likelihood of Chinese regulators supporting the Yuan against the Dollar.

Hexun News: Chinese leading online media of financial news.

- Chinese top policymakers continued to tighten regulations on the housing market. On Tuesday, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development (MOHURD) issued a joint announcement that the two regulators will conduct investigations on real estate developers and agencies in provincial capitals from November 10th to December 20th. This is considered as a move to further curb the soaring housing prices in tier-one and tier-two cities.

In the 3Q Monetary Policy Implementation report released yesterday, the PBOC mentioned for the first time that it will “pay attention to curbing asset price bubbles and preventing economic and financial risks. This means that China has prioritized bringing down the soaring housing prices, and therefore, we may see additional tightening rules to be introduced over the following periods.

Sina News: China’s most important online media source, similar to CNN in the US. They also own a Chinese version of Twitter, called Weibo, with around 200 million active usersmonthly.

- 66 Chinese securities companies have been approved to participate in Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. According to the Exchange, participants will need to test their technical systems on either November 11th or 18th after the day’s trading is closed. This means that the official launch of the trading link will be after the 18th and is highly likely to be on the 28th.

- The NDRC told on Wednesday that two major coal producers have signed long-term contracts with two national utility providers, which ensures both fixed coal supply and prices. The regulator encouraged other mines to sign similar medium- to long-term contracts, and told that the government will provide assistant to those mines for their coal shipments. Over the past few weeks, China’s coal spot and futures prices were soaring amid speculation of shortage in coal supply. On Tuesday, three main Chinese commodities exchanges introduced a series of hikes in fees and margins in the effort to curb rallies in coal and other raw material prices.

To receive reports from this analyst,sign up for Renee Mu’ distribution list.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES