The S&P 500 finally showed some weakness yesterday and gives shorts a chance to start looking for lower prices even if one more stab higher develops. The DAX hit the 2011 trend-line and also at risk of trading weaker in the sessions ahead. Crude oil touched off on resistance and in-line with stocks is poised to soften a bit from here. Gold pulled back to a trio of support levels and as long as that holds a neutral bias at worst will be held, a break will have the precious metal likely reeling.
- Gold price hit trio of support, holding for now
- Crude oil likely to trade soft after hitting resistance
- S&P 500 and DAX 30 to weaken from here
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Gold price hit trio of support, holding for now
Yesterday, gold pulled back to important support via the crossroads of the slope from August, the trend-line from November, and the 1276 low from Jan 4. So far, we are seeing price abide by support, and giving it the benefit of the doubt it keeps shorts at bay and gives would-be longs a spot to lean on for assessing risk. It will require a slice through 1276 to further downside momentum.
Gold Daily Chart (confluent support)
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Crude oil likely to trade soft after hitting resistance
WTI crude oil ran into resistance over 54, a spot created in December prior to the final leg lower. This should keep a lid on a further advance and could soon have support under 50 in play, especially if we see global stocks take a hit.
WTI Crude Oil Daily Chart (Resistance keeping a lid on price)
Brent crude has the same resistance created back in December along with the trend-line running up from the 2016 low. Looking for weakness to develop back towards 59.
Brent Crude Oil Daily Chart (Looking for decline to 59 or so)
For an intermediate-term fundamental and technical outlook check out the Crude Oil Forecast
S&P 500 and DAX 30 to weaken from here
Yesterday, the S&P 500 finally weakened and for the first time in a couple of weeks it suggests two-way trade may be underway. This was a welcomed sight for traders as shorts can finally be under considered with momentum showing a break. The market could trade a little higher from here but look for any further strength in the near-term to fail.
S&P 500 Daily Chart (Rallies at risk)
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The DAX is pulling back from a kiss of the 2011 trend-line, with support not far below to help keep it from falling apart in the very near-term. But overall it should struggle and as is the case with the S&P, there should be more two-way trade now with sellers gaining the upper hand.
DAX Daily Chart (2011 trend-line resistance)
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---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst
You can follow Paul on Twitter at@PaulRobinsonFX