We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Mixed
Gold
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Bitcoin
Mixed
More View more
Notice

DailyFX PLUS Content Now Available Freely to all DailyFX Users

Real Time News
  • Commodities Update: As of 18:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Gold: 0.85% Silver: 0.35% Oil - US Crude: 0.05% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/1Wv0HjjS67
  • China reportedly cancelled the Montana farm visit in reaction to Trump's earlier commentary that he would not accept a partial deal $DXY #Tradewar $SPX
  • Trump says that ending the trade war by 2020 is not a priority
  • Trader tip: How important is strategy to deal with #FOMOintrading? Find out from @PeterHanksFX https://t.co/NYBNgSGeI1
  • The Dollar's climb is confounding many, but it still draws a safe haven status and it has this: the yield spread in 10yr gov't bonds for the US and aggregate of EU,JY,AD,NZ,CA,UK) https://t.co/NSXoTbCriC
  • Fed's Kaplan cites that while consumers remain strong, trade tensions are putting a dent in factories, worrying that it could seep into other industries
  • Fed's Kaplan stated today that he would prefer if U.S. rates did not step into negative territory
  • Fed's Kaplan says hopeful that rate cut will produce more normal yield curve $DXY $TNX
  • RT @LiveSquawk: Fed’s Kaplan: Hopeful Fed's Rate Cut Will Help Deliver A More Normally Shaped Yield Curve
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 97.86%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 89.88%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/6YHNi1HVIC
FTSE Technical Outlook – The Struggle Continues Near Multi-Month Lows

FTSE Technical Outlook – The Struggle Continues Near Multi-Month Lows

2018-08-30 08:36:00
Paul Robinson, Currency Strategist
Share:

FTSE Technical Highlights:

  • FTSE generally weak sitting near multi-month lows
  • Solid near-term support just under 7500
  • Long-term chart pattern revisited

To see what fundamental drivers and intermediate-term technical factors are driving the FTSE & British Pound, check out the DailyFX Q3 Trading Forecasts.

FTSE generally weak sitting near multi-month lows

The FTSE continues to demonstrate relative weakness among major global indices, lately performing a bit worse than its Euro-zone counterparts (DAX/CAC) and considerably worse than the U.S., which is running to new heights (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100).

Indeed, there is glaring divergence right now between several major global equity markets and the U.S. Turning to Asia, the Nikkei is sitting a good distance from it’s January highs, too, struggling to get to its best levels since May.

What does this all mean for the FTSE? The relative weakness suggests that if the struggles continue, when (if) risk appetite weakens in the world’s largest stock market, we could see the footsie trade sharply lower. We saw something like this happen from January to March.

Long-term Chart Pattern Revisited

This brings us to the long-term pattern we discussed a couple of weeks back. The Reverse Symmetrical Triangle, or ‘RST’, that has been developing since June of last year is starting to point to a broad reversal. Looking at the weekly, the initial pullback in May/June led to a failed rally into this month, which is now rolling over towards another lower low.

The pullback, failed rally scenario is typically the sign of an ‘RST’ becoming a reversal pattern and not one which leads to a continuation. We have yet to see a close below the June weekly low of 7508, but if we do (and recent 7477 low) it will further along the notion that the FTSE is on the verge of declining much more swiftly soon.

In the immediate future there is the low from the week before last and 200-day MA, if a decline below 7477 develops look for more immediate selling. There is a lower parallel under 7400 which may provide near-term support, though, and with trading conditions generally choppy heading into the end of summer, playing momentum in either direction isn’t a prudent approach. Entries will likely be best kept to counter-trend moves…

Check out this guide for 4 ideas on how to Build Confidence in Trading.

FTSE Weekly Chart (RST Pattern)

FTSE weekly chart, RTS pattern

FTSE Daily Chart (Support at feet)

FTSE daily chart, support at feet

You can join me every Tuesday at 9 GMT for live analysis on equity indices and commodities, and for the remaining roster of live events, check out the webinar calendar.

Tools for Forex & CFD Traders

Whether you are a beginning or experienced trader, DailyFX has several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinsonFX

provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.