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  • Gold has rallied nearly 1.0 percent over the past half hour, retracing approximately two-thirds of the day's full bearish move that nearly return to the 200-day simple moving average at 1841
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in EUR/CHF are long at 75.94%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 76.86%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX:
  • Commodities Update: As of 13:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 0.86% Silver: -0.03% Gold: -0.72% View the performance of all markets via
  • Indices Update: As of 13:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: FTSE 100: 0.12% Germany 30: 0.09% France 40: 0.08% US 500: 0.03% Wall Street: -0.08% View the performance of all markets via
  • The USD is holding onto 90.50 following Friday’s adjustment in positioning. The main event this week is the FOMC monetary policy meeting and while no policy changes are expected. Get your market update from @JMcQueenFX here:
  • Heads Up:🇧🇷 Business Confidence (JUN) due at 13:30 GMT (15min) Previous: 58.5
  • BoE's Bailey says the size of the BoE's balance sheet will be a major issue in 5 years
  • $USDCAD breakout + pullback feels like pre-positioning ahead of the Fed, just in case they get a little less dovish on the forecast
  • It looks like Gold has cleared its bullish trend channel and simultaneously, $BTCUSD found a bullish break on a wedge. Inverted Bitcoin and overlaid on $XAUSUD below. Here with a 20-day correlation coefficient
  • Paul Tudor Jones - I want 5% in Bitcoin as portfolio diversifier via @CNBC. Bitcoin pressing back into $40k. #bitcoin #btc @DailyFXTeam
Weekly Trading Forecast: Politics in Focus for Global Markets

Weekly Trading Forecast: Politics in Focus for Global Markets

Politics are back in focus for financial markets as protectionism threatens to derail global economic growth and Italy holds a worrying election.

US Dollar Forecast: Dollar Strength Tempered by Tariff Talk: Powell Hints of Four-Hike Potential

The US Dollar wiped-out early week gains after talk of tariffs on Chinese steel and aluminum gripped markets’ attention. This obscured the earlier testimony from new Fed Chair Jerome Powell, when he talked down the ‘Fed Put’ while hinting towards the possibility of four hikes out of the US this year.

Euro Forecast: Euro Contends with Italian Election Results, ECB Meeting

Political risk is back in focus in the first half of the week, while the European Central Bank’s March policy meeting – which will bring forth new Staff Economic Projections – will highlight the second half.

British Pound Forecast: The Song Remains The Same – Brexit

Sterling got an early uplift this week from hawkish central bank commentary but the ongoing stalemate in the Brexit negotiations continues to weigh on the British Pound.

Japanese Yen Forecast: Yen Looks Attractive on Italian Election, US Jobs Data and More

The Japanese Yen seems like an attractive bid for next week given the upcoming Italian election and US jobs report. Don’t dismiss the possibility of more US tariff retaliation too.

Australian Dollar Forecast: Australian Dollar Could Struggle With RBA Rate Call, Lowe Speech

The Australian Dollar market can look forward to two key local economic events this week. Neither may be very comforting for the bulls.

Equities Forecast: Global Indices Undergoing 'Stress Test'; More Losses Could Be in Store

Next week stock markets could be under further fire as risk aversion hits once again; several key events on the docket.

Gold Forecast: Gold Prices Buoyed by Trump Tariff Talks- Is a Bottom In Place?

Gold prices reversed off key support this week over concerns regarding a looming global trade war. Here are the updated targets & invalidation levels that matter from here.

Crude Oil Forecast: Crude Oil Prices at Risk on Italian Election, Trade Woes, US Data

Crude oil prices may fall further as the outcome of an Italian general election, worries about a brewing trade war and February’s US jobs data sour the markets’ mood.

Weekly Trading Forecast: Politics in Focus for Global Markets

See what live coverage is scheduled to cover key event risk for the FX and capital markets on the DailyFX Webinar Calendar.

See how retail traders are positioning in the majors using the IG Client Sentiment readings on the sentiment page.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.