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AUDNZD Pullback at Key Inflection Point- Bearish Sub 1.1250

AUDNZD Pullback at Key Inflection Point- Bearish Sub 1.1250

Talking Points


Chart Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Technical Outlook

  • AUDNZD testing key support confluence 1.1140/50- break below needed to validate reversal
  • Support break targets objectives at 1.1095 & May TL support ~1.1030
  • Interim resistance at 1.1250 backed by 1.1278 - bearish invalidation
  • Daily RSI divergence into the highs highlights the risk of larger correction
  • Event Risk Ahead: Australian Employment on Wednesday night

AUDNZD 30min

Notes: The AUDNZD pullback is approaching its first level of significant support into the 1.1140/50 confluence region. We could get a rebound off this level but generally looking for short-triggers while below the weekly opening range high at 1.1250 with a break lower targeting 1.1094/97 backed by 1.1030 and the 100% extension at 1.0997.

A break above the weekly high invalidates the short-bias with such a scenario targeting subsequent resistance targets. Event risk is rather limited on this pair heading into the end of the week with only the Australian Employment report on tap on Wednesday night in New York. A quarter of the daily average true range yields profit targets of 26-28pips per scalp.

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Relevant Data Releases

Other Setups in Play:

---Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.