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AUDJPY Snaps 9 Day Losing Streak- Long Scalps Favored Above 91.20

AUDJPY Snaps 9 Day Losing Streak- Long Scalps Favored Above 91.20

Michael Boutros, Strategist

Talking Points

AUDJPY Daily

AUDJPY Snaps 9 Day Losing Streak- Long Scalps Favored Above 91.20

Chart Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Technical Outlook

  • AUDJPY posts daily outside reversal candle off multi-year TL support- (near-term bullish)
  • Rally takes out initial weekly / monthly opening range at 91.60 (interim support)
  • Interim resistance 92.42 backed by key resistance at 92.95-93.00
  • Key support & bullish invalidation at 90.20/49
  • Daily RSI holds 40-support (constructive)
  • Pending momentum resistance trigger- breach would validate near-term reversal
  • Event Risk Ahead: Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Statement tonight, FOMC minutes tomorrow

AUDJPY 30min

AUDJPY Snaps 9 Day Losing Streak- Long Scalps Favored Above 91.20

Notes:The AUDJPY as responded to a multi-year TL support extending off the 2009 & 2012 lows with today’s RBA inspired outside reversal candle taking the pair through the initial weekly opening range at 91.19. Our focus remains weighted to the topside while above this region with near-term resistance eyed at the confluence of slope resistance & the 50% retracement of the decline at 92.43 heading into European trade.

Bottom line: looking to buy pullbacks while within this formation with a breach above 92.43 targeting more significant resistance at 92.95-93.00. Subsequent topside targets are eyed at 93.46, 93.80 & 94.50/73. A break of the weekly ORL shifts the short-side bias back into play targeting the 90-handle. A quarter of the daily ATR yields profit targets of 25-27pips per scalp. Caution is warranted heading into event risk tonight with the Bank of Japan interest rate likely to fuel added volatility in yen crosses.

* It’s extremely important to give added consideration regarding the timing of intra-day scalps with the opening ranges on a session & hourly basis offering further clarity on intra-day biases.

Relevant Data Releases

AUDJPY Snaps 9 Day Losing Streak- Long Scalps Favored Above 91.20

Other Setups in Play:

---Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

For updates on this scalp and more setups follow him on Twitter @MBForex

To contact Michael email mboutros@dailyfx.com or Click Here to be added to his email distribution list

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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