We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Signals from retail trader positioning hint that the FTSE 100 and S&P 500 could have room for weakness ahead as the CAC 40 attempts to climb towards key resistance. Get your European #equities update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/gepciUHqxT https://t.co/BAJ9f1nTwE
  • 🇯🇵 Retail Sales YoY Actual: -13.7% Expected: -11.5% Previous: -4.7% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-05-28
  • 🇯🇵 Industrial Production YoY Prel Actual: -14.4% Previous: -5.2% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-05-28
  • 🇯🇵 Retail Sales YoY Actual: -13.7% Expected: -11.5% Previous: -4.6% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-05-28
  • Heads Up:🇯🇵 Retail Sales YoY due at 23:50 GMT (15min) Expected: -11.5% Previous: -4.6% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-05-28
  • Heads Up:🇯🇵 Industrial Production YoY Prel due at 23:50 GMT (15min) Previous: -5.2% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-05-28
  • 🇯🇵 Unemployment Rate Actual: 2.6% Expected: 2.7% Previous: 2.5% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-05-28
  • Heads Up:🇯🇵 Unemployment Rate due at 23:30 GMT (15min) Expected: 2.7% Previous: 2.5% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-05-28
  • The US Dollar has fallen substantially this week as the Dollar Basket (DXY) skirts the edge of lower-lows as it forfeits the ground it captured in the March rally. Get your $USDCAD market update from @PeterHanksFX here: https://t.co/JW6ohifDeF https://t.co/twToadCrtr
  • The #Euro is attempting to break above range resistance capping upside progress for nearly two months. Momentum and sentiment studies warn it may fail. Get your $EURUSD market update from @IlyaSpivak here:https://t.co/4tpAAC1ZpV https://t.co/sCZskNhfJ4
Gold Price Rise Stalls as Market Risk Appetite Unravels

Gold Price Rise Stalls as Market Risk Appetite Unravels

2019-01-29 05:30:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
Share:

GOLD & CRUDE OIL TALKING POINTS:

  • Gold prices stall at chart resistance as US Dollar gains in risk-off trade
  • Crude oil prices down alongside stocks as sentiment cools market-wide
  • S&P 500 futures suggest risk aversion still the path of least resistance

Gold prices struggled for direction as renewed risk aversion offered conflicting cues, with a supportive decline in yields offset by haven-seeking flows’ support for the US Dollar (as expected). Sentiment-sensitive crude oil prices offered a more straight-forward response, falling in lockstep with stocks.

GOLD RALLY STALLS, CRUDE OIL MAY FALL FURTHER IN RISK-OFF TRADE

Looking ahead, a meaningful downswing in bellwether S&P 500 futures in Asia Pacific trading hours hints the risk-off mood has scope to continue. That suggests yesterday’s moves may find follow-through, with oil under pressure while gold treads water.

API inventory flow statistics headline the data docket. The outcome will be measured against expectations predicting a 2.7-million-barrel build to be reported in official EIA figures due Wednesday. A larger rise may amplify sentiment-driven selling pressure on oil prices, while a smaller one helps mitigate it.

Learn what other traders’ gold buy/sell decisions say about the price trend!

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Gold prices stalled at resistance 1302.97-07.32 area after Friday’s swift rally. A breach above this barrier confirmed on a daily closing basis exposes the chart inflection point at 1323.60 next. Alternatively, a reversal lower that takes out rising trend support at 1281.76 opens the door for test of the 1260.80-63.76 region.

Chart of Gold Daily Chart

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Crude oil prices drop to issue to the lowest close in two weeks, hinting at follow-through on the bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern identified earlier. From here, a daily close below support in the 49.41-50.15 area sets the stage for a retest of the 42.05-55 zone. Alternatively, push above resistance in the 54.51-55.24 region aims for the chart inflection point at 59.05.

Chart of Light Crude Oil Futures

COMMODITY TRADING RESOURCES

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Ilya, use the comments section below or @IlyaSpivak on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.