0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bullish
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • #BritishPound May Fall on #Virus-Hit GDP Data, #Brexit Stalemate ⬇️ https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/gbp/2020/08/08/British-Pound-May-Fall-on-Virus-Hit-GDP-Data-Brexit-Stalemate.html
  • Did you know a Doji candlestick signals market indecision and the potential for a change in direction. What are the top five types of Doji candlesticks? Find out: https://t.co/td5WA4hCZC https://t.co/BuFKivwj2h
  • There are many different types of forex orders, which traders use to manage their trades. While these may vary between different brokers, there tends to be several basic FX order types all brokers accept. Learn about different FX order types here: https://t.co/lIJdiz4xSz https://t.co/QXaLbmFSjd
  • The anti-risk Japanese #Yen may rise versus currencies like the $AUD and $NZD on US-China tensions and fiscal stimulus woes which sank the Nasdaq 100 at the end of last week. Get your #currencies update from @ddubrovskyFX here: https://t.co/Kw0fYCHEcw https://t.co/jiQBPpzat3
  • The #Dollar is down than 3% year-to-date with the index responding to trend support at multi-year lows. Here are the levels that matter on the $DXY weekly technical chart. Get your #currencies update from @MBForex here: https://t.co/MVnF5VDoeN https://t.co/TP2k8u9sXN
  • Why financial market traders must monitor both monetary and fiscal policy? Find out from @MartinSEssex here:https://t.co/Fkzk88Y5gm https://t.co/ioGWvplvt7
  • Based on how US-China tensions and fiscal talks ended this past week, is the Japanese #Yen readying to push higher ahead? Check out the latest #JPY fundamental outlook here - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/jpy/2020/08/10/Yen-May-Rise-as-Nasdaq-100-Falls-on-US-China-Tensions-Fiscal-Woes.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/2Km23bVAy2
  • Tech leading the S&P 500 towards record highs, however, China risks rise. FTSE 100 hovers in a lower range. Get your #equities update from @JMcQueenFX here: https://t.co/IJAABNhxjs https://t.co/ZZ6njsuf5O
  • We are heading into the peak of summer yet there are some unexpected trends in key plays. Will complacency or fundamental instability win out? My weekend video: '#Dollar, S&P 500, #Gold - The Potential for Trend, Reversal or Congestion' https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2020/08/08/Dollar-SP-500-Gold---The-Potential-for-Trend-Reversal-or-Congestion-.html?ref-author=Kicklighter&QPID=917719&CHID=9 https://t.co/7KoypvTwcL
  • What are some trading mistakes @nickcawley1 made during his career and what did he learn from them? Find out: https://t.co/40C8Sg5fM6
Video: Will Seasonal Changes Revive Volatility and Restore Trend?

Video: Will Seasonal Changes Revive Volatility and Restore Trend?

2016-08-27 03:47:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist
Share:

Talking Points:

  • We look at the results of a poll asking what restores volatility: Jackson Hole; seasonality; or a 'crisis'
  • Remarks from Janet Yellen and others generated a significant move Friday, but follow through remains dubious
  • Historically, the VIX rises in August and the S&P 500 dives in September; but but volume remains the linchpin

What are the Traits of Successful Traders? See what our studies have found to be the most common pitfalls of retail FX traders.

Volatility and trend will eventually return for the financial markets, but the genesis for this revival remains unclear. A late burst of activity for risk-oriented assets this past Friday lifted hopes and appetites amongst traders parched for meaningful trading opportunity. Monetary policy commentary from the Jackson Hole Symposium certainly taped memories of past events which charged remarkable trends. Yet, in a poll conducted at the beginning of the week, few believed this event would supply the spark for a lasting move. And, despite the week-end volatility, I agree with this skepticism.

There are considerable limitations for the summit's rhetoric recharging a market waylaid by circumstance and disinterest. One of the more prominent hurdles comes in the form of seasonal restraints. We are heading into a week that holds the final days of August and opening days of September. Notably, this is the week that precedes the Labor Day holiday in the US. While the VIX volatility index has historically started to rise through the month of August, the S&P 500 has presented its trough in volume with little discernible predisposition towards performance.

It is the 'structural' limitations that have developed over months and years that truly burden the market. And, overcoming those restraints will likely require more than just the seasonal rebound in VIX and average drop in the equity index benchmark. A catalyst for participation (or volume) is needed. And, given the moral hazard and complacency that have taken root,that may very well take a crisis-like event. We weigh the market's susceptibility as opportunity in this weekend Strategy Video.

To receive John’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.