News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bearish
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • Commodities Update: As of 02:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 0.29% Gold: -0.19% Silver: -0.60% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/VxT6Ljvpik
  • Forex Update: As of 02:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇯🇵JPY: 0.15% 🇳🇿NZD: 0.02% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.06% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.08% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.09% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.17% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/HbXlgqqEG4
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 97.34%, while traders in NZD/USD are at opposite extremes with 63.25%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/RoqYFl8Oue
  • Silver prices plummeted over 8% on Monday, registering their largest single-day swing seen in more than one month. The potential cross over of its 20-Day SMA below 50-Day SMA is likely to form a “Death Cross”, which is a mid-term bearish indicator. https://t.co/N6OHzhZOzR
  • Key levels in forex tend to draw attention to traders in the market. These are psychological prices which tie into the human psyche and way of thinking. Learn about psychological levels here:https://t.co/1oygcFMFNs https://t.co/C2rRzTLN03
  • As the clock is ticking on US Presidential Election – an event that is highly important and may carry significant amount of uncertainty. Will you ride the volatility or stay on the sideline until the political skies are cleared in November? https://t.co/5EXpzyXHct
  • Wall Street Futures edged higher at Asia opening hours: Dow Jones (+0.12%) S&P 500 (+0.13%) Nasdaq 100 (+0.13%) [delayed] -BBG
  • Join @DanielGMoss's #Webinar at 10:00 PM ET/2:00 AM GMT for his weekly coverage of trading prep for $AUDUSD in the week ahead. Register here: https://t.co/wi1qabrtHJ https://t.co/bmOoBpGlZs
  • $AUDUSD dipping in morning APAC trade following a speech from #RBA Governor Guy Debelle He mentioned that an option possibly being considered for other policy prescriptions is to buy bonds 'further out along the curve' (relatively dovish) https://t.co/JXQktfCrj0 https://t.co/Xbyhuuy5b6
  • RBA's Debelle: 'Mixed' empirical evidence on negative rates, TFF increase is substantial easing of monetary policy -BBG #RBA $AUDUSD
EURGBP Retreats After 11-Week Sugar Rush. Crash Ahead?

EURGBP Retreats After 11-Week Sugar Rush. Crash Ahead?

2019-07-26 02:00:00
Dimitri Zabelin, Analyst
Share:

EURGBP TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

  • EURGBP retreated from consecutive 11-week climb
  • Brexit news may have contributed to pair’s pullback
  • How far will EURGBP fall and where might it land?

See our free guide to learn how to use economic news in your trading strategy!

As forecasted, EURGBP pulled back after attempting to break past the seven-month resistance range between 0.9039-0.9060 (red dotted lines). The pair retreated to a familiar floor at 0.8952 (yellow dotted line), which in the past acted as resistance before becoming support. It appears the fickle price level is now reprising its role as the former although it is not entirely convincing it will be a formidable barrier to overcome.

EURGBP Shies Away From 7-Month High

Chart Showing EURGBP

Recent Brexit developments may have been behind EURGBP’s decline. The appointment of Boris Johnson as Prime Minister removed the risk of uncertainty over who will take over from the beleaguered Theresa May. The Pound has been modestly stronger against most of its counterparts for the past few days. While normally, fundamentals would be kept out of a technical article, for GBP crosses this is difficult because:

“Performing technical analysis on a pair whose counter currency is linked to a fundamentally volatile environment makes it unusually difficult and unpredictable. There is no telling when a sudden political development will cross the headlines and what the respective magnitude of the price swing will be.”

If you’re interested in learning more about political risks impacting financial markets, be sure to follow me on Twitter @ZabelinDimitri.

The extent of EURGBP’s decline may be limited by the price parameters that have been in place since the 2016 referendum. Zooming out to a weekly chart shows the pair has been somewhat range-bound for a little over two years. EURGBP’s retreat may reflect markets’ hesitation to break one of these barriers, coupled with a slightly less uncertain fundamental backdrop.

Sugar Rush Wears Off: EURGBP 11-Week Uptrend Takes a Turn

Chart Showing EURGBP

Looking ahead, the pair may hover between 0.8952 and 0.9060, barring any Brexit developments that offer traders the luxury of feeling a fleeting moment of hope over a resolution for the political entanglement. A break below support at 0.8874 could lead to a selloff, though Fibonacci retracement suggests the downward move may be limited with the pair hitting a possible floor at the 0.382 percent level.

EURGBP TRADING RESOURCES

--- Written by Dimitri Zabelin, Jr Currency Analyst for DailyFX.com

To contact Dimitri, use the comments section below or @ZabelinDimitrion Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES