Talking Points:
- Crude Oil Prices Snap 5-Day Win Streak as Rebound Loses Steam
- Near-Term Chart Support Now Just Sits Below $48/Barrel Figure
Crude oil turned sharply lower after finding resistance below the $55/barrel figure, snapping a five-day winning streak that brought prices to the highest level in over a month. As we noted previously, the upswing from Augusts’ lows appeared to be corrective, owing to short-covering more so than new buying interest. The last leg of the advance appeared particularly suspect, following on the heels of a knee-jerk reaction to a seemingly innocuous refrain in OPEC’s monthly bulletin.
Near-term support now looks to be at 47.82, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion. A break below this barrier on a daily closing basis opens the door for a test of the next downside threshold at 43.82, the 38.2% level. Resistance comes in at 50.29, marked by the 14.6% Fib, with a move back above that clearing the way for another test of the August 31 swing high at 54.29.
KEY UPCOMING EVENT RISK:
02 SEP 2015, 14:30 GMT – DOE US Crude Oil Inventories – Expected: n/a, Prev: -5452K
02 SEP 2015, 18:00 GMT – Federal Reserve Publishes Beige Book
03 SEP 2015, 11:45 GMT – ECB Interest Rate Decision – Expected: 0.05%, Prev: 0.05%
04 SEP 2015, 12:30 GMT – US Nonfarm Payrolls (AUG) – Expected: 220K, Prev: 215K
--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
To receive Ilya's analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE
Contact and follow Ilya on Twitter: @IlyaSpivak
