News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • Heads Up:🇳🇿 Balance of Trade (AUG) due at 22:45 GMT (15min) Previous: N$282M https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-09-23
  • Could #CrudeOil prices be readying to resume the former uptrend? Or will prices extend losses ahead? #WTI has lately been trading within a Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern Learn more about this formation here - https://www.dailyfx.com/education/technical-analysis-chart-patterns/triangle-pattern.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/g9UlHCePF1
  • Australian Dollar has broken parallel support and remains at risk for further losses within the broader June uptrend. Get your $AUDUSD technical analysis from @MBForex here:https://t.co/gTmlLX5t06 https://t.co/GfEixh5aoP
  • Update on #Cryptocurrencies #BITCOIN +0.27% #BITCOINCASH +0.49% #ETHEREUM +0.21% #RIPPLE +0.49% #LITECOIN +0.38%
  • The Nasdaq 100 just pulled back near an important area of big-picture support via the top of the decade-long channel it left behind back in July. Get your #Nasdaq technical analysis from @PaulRobinsonFX here:https://t.co/XhipuEMhyN https://t.co/BhSnsxU4IJ
  • Forex Update: As of 20:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇬🇧GBP: -0.06% 🇯🇵JPY: -0.41% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.41% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.61% 🇳🇿NZD: -1.30% 🇦🇺AUD: -1.36% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/kCInf1EbdQ
  • Commodities Update: As of 20:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: -1.05% Gold: -2.02% Silver: -6.45% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/YRqYY2B6Ui
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 97.16%, while traders in NZD/USD are at opposite extremes with 63.74%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/qnPrjK4cau
  • The USD/CAD breakout is now approaching near-term uptrend resistance and while the broader outlook remains constructive, the bulls may be vulnerable here. Get your $USDCAD technical analysis from @MBForex here: https://t.co/Bdr4y9lTJv https://t.co/kjg9w2JkLq
  • US Equities Update (Wednesday Close): $DJI -1.92% $SPX -2.37% $NDX -3.16% $RUT -3.04% $VIX +7.86%
US Dollar (DXY) Price Outlook - A Pivotal Few Days Ahead for the US Dollar

US Dollar (DXY) Price Outlook - A Pivotal Few Days Ahead for the US Dollar

2020-08-25 09:32:00
Nick Cawley, Strategist
Share:

US Dollar (DXY) Price, News and Analysis:

  • Important data releases and the Jackson Hole Symposium on the docket.
  • $148 billion auctions of 2-, 5- and 7-year USTs this week.
USD Forecast
USD Forecast
Recommended by Nick Cawley
Q3 US Dollar Guide
Get My Guide

The daily US dollar (DXY) is currently treading water ahead of a slew of important data releases and speeches from Fed chair Jerome Powell this week. In addition, the US Treasury market is likely to come under pressure as dealers and investors ready themselves for $148 billion of short-term US Treasury issuance that may well press yields higher.

This week’s economic calendar reveals a handful of important US economic releases, all of which can make or break a move.News events are important for forex fundamental analysis and interpreting data is key when looking for hints about future moves. While hard data is important, this week the annual Jackson Hole Symposium starts on Thursday with an eagerly-awaited speech by Fed chair Jerome Powell opening the two-day virtual conference. A lot will depend on Powell’s speech after last week’s Fed minutes showed employment slowing down while economic uncertainties remain. If chair Powell doubles down on this negative backdrop, then further stimulus will be priced-in, pushing the even US dollar lower.

Today’s consumer confidence release for August, needs to be closely watched, while Wednesday’s durable goods, Thursday’s second look at US Q2 GDP and Friday’s core PCE and Michigan consumer sentiment are all capable of ramping up volatility.

DailyFX Economic Calendar

US Dollar (DXY) Price Outlook - A Pivotal Few Days Ahead for the US DollarUS Dollar (DXY) Price Outlook - A Pivotal Few Days Ahead for the US Dollar
Building Confidence in Trading
Building Confidence in Trading
Recommended by Nick Cawley
Building Confidence in Trading
Get My Guide

US Treasury yields are starting to creep higher today as dealers, and investors, make room for a short $150 billion of 2-, 5- and 7-year US Treasuries issuance starting today. Markets normally try and force prices lower/yields higher ahead of new UST issuance to get a better level to buy the new stock.

US Dollar (DXY) Price Outlook - A Pivotal Few Days Ahead for the US Dollar

While higher UST yields should buttress the dollar, it remains to be seen if this is just short-term support or the start of a medium-term move higher for the greenback.

The daily DXY chart shows a couple of bullish technical signals that may suggest higher prices in the short-term. Last Friday a bullish engulfing candlestick was formed, just two days after another near-bullish candlestick. In addition, higher lows can be seen in five out of the last six days - excluding the Sunday print – and the DXY is also battling with resistance off the 20-day moving average. If the DXY can open above the 20-dma, then the 93.50-94.00 zone comes into play, while any further rejection of the 20-dma sees the 92.10-92.50 zone back in focus. It may be wise to let this week’s events play out before looking at the next move in the US dollar.

If you would like to learn more about candlestick patterns and formations, we have prepared a primer on the Top 10 Candlestick Patterns to Trade the Markets

US Dollar Basket (DXY) Daily Price Chart (January – August 25, 2020)

US Dollar (DXY) Price Outlook - A Pivotal Few Days Ahead for the US Dollar

What is your view on the US Dollar – bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author via Twitter @nickcawley1.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES