News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • GBP/USD IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now net-short GBP/USD for the first time since Jun 16, 2021 when GBP/USD traded near 1.40. A contrarian view of crowd sentiment points to GBP/USD strength. https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/6IxNIkWji6
  • NY Fed accepts $927.42 billion in reverse repo operations $USD $DXY
  • $EURUSD is looking to close above the 20-day moving average for the first time in 36 trading days. This would end the longest bearish leg (by definition of spot above/below 20 SMA) since Nov 16, 2018 https://t.co/CM9PhSi7RN
  • USD/CAD struggles to push back above the 200-Day SMA (1.2608) as it tracks the range-bound price action carried over from the previous week. Get your market update from @DavidJSong here:https://t.co/VZBKpusKx1 https://t.co/GSZTNOfuOm
  • Despite the formation of a "death cross" EUR/USD continues higher, trading back above 1.1830 $EURUSD #Forex #Trading https://t.co/J9Z4psFoim
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 93.60%, while traders in Wall Street are at opposite extremes with 70.50%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/BXjltzFs4r
  • In case you missed it... I discuss considerations for playing gold and silver price pullbacks as potentially attractive opportunities in the article below. Link - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/monthly/title/2021/07/02/gold-silver-price-pullback-could-provide-attractive-opportunities-in-q3.html https://t.co/XFd16WGsKN
  • Commodities Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Gold: 0.12% Oil - US Crude: -0.90% Silver: -2.46% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/shWd9TLjur
  • As risk-assets decline, the $VIX moves back above 20 ahead of tomorrow's Fed rate decision $VIX $VVIX $VXX https://t.co/tWlI7CJivw
  • Forex Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇯🇵JPY: 0.70% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.48% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.24% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.30% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.33% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.63% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/a0R3xYzRkN
EURUSD Brushes Off Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence Data, Focus on EU Leaders' Summit

EURUSD Brushes Off Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence Data, Focus on EU Leaders' Summit

Daniela Sabin Hathorn, Analyst

EUR Talking Points:

  • Euro sees some support on the back of European Elections
  • Italy remains as a main concern for Euro traders
  • Eurozone Confidence Data effect is mostly muted

EURUSD continues to trade below the 1.12 handle on mixed EU Confidence. Data for the month of May has come in better than expected but figures for the previous month have been revised lower.

The release of the figures has had little effect on the Euro as traders remain focused on the results of the European Elections and the EU leaders’ summit to determine whether the next ECB policymaker will be more hawkish or dovish than Mario Draghi.

The pair managed to recover slightly on Monday as the results of the European Elections showed that despite centre parties losing votes, these have not only gone to populists but also to pro-European parties like the Greens and Liberals, slightly easing concerns about the up-rise in Eurosceptic parties. Italy remains one of the main points of concern for the EU, as Matteo Salvini’s right-wing League party claimed victory by taking 34.3% of the votes. His position on EU Budget Limitations is expected to re-open the budget clashes with Brussels, leading to a widening of the spread between Italian and German bonds.

The beginning of the European session saw some support from the Euro despite worse than expected German consumer confidence figures released earlier. Both EURUSD and EURGBP were trading higher, with the latter pushing past 0.8835 and recovering most of the ground it had lost since the close n Friday.

EURUSD ONE-MINUTE PRICE CHART (MAY 28, 2019)

EURUSD Brushes Off Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence Data, Focus on EU Leaders' Summit

The session ahead has little in terms of key economic releases from the Eurozone, the main pressure on EURUSD is expected this afternoon as US Consumer Confidence figures are released this afternoon, with an expected rise to 130 from 129.2.

DailyFX Calendar

Eurozone Confidence Data

The final figures for Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence in the month of May remained constant at -6.5 after being revised lower to -7.3 whilst the Eurozone Economic Confidence recovered to 105.1 beating expectations of 103.9.

The rise was led by both the Services and Industrial Confidence improving in the month of May. Services confidence was up to 12.2 from 11.8 and Industrial confidence recovered from -4.3 to -2.9. This figure asks for production expectations, meaning that a deterioration indicates a negative outlook for the future of the business spending and capital investment.

IG Client Sentiment.EURUSD: Retail trader data shows 57.8% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.37 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-long since May 15 when EURUSD traded near 1.12056; price has moved 0.2% lower since then. The number of traders net-long is 14.4% lower than yesterday and 8.0% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 0.8% lower than yesterday and 7.7% lower from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests EURUSD prices may continue to fall. Yet traders are less net-long than yesterday and compared with last week.

Recommended Reading

Eurozone Debt Crisis: How to Trade Future Disasters – Martin Essex, MSTA, Analyst and Editor

KEY TRADING RESOURCES:

--- Written by Daniela Sabin Hathorn, Junior Analyst

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES