News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • Sources close to the Chinese Government have told Asia Markets a deal that will see China Evergrande (3333 HK) restructured into three seperate entities is currently being finalised by the Chinese Communist Party and could be announced within days.
  • Shadow MPC as hawkish as ever - They have been calling for the BoE to end QE early since June - Often a big difference in what people think a central bank should do and will do https://t.co/RAakSI8gI6
  • Trading bias allows traders to make informative decisions when dealing in the market. This relates to both novice and experienced traders alike. Start learning how you may be able to make more informed decisions here: https://t.co/rz7fqi8ZEe https://t.co/XfrcQXJu0Z
  • IFO lowers German 2021 GDP growth forecast to 2.5% from 3.3% - Raises 2022 forecast to 5.1% from 4.3%
  • 🇿🇦 Inflation Rate YoY (AUG) Actual: 4.9% Expected: 4.8% Previous: 4.6% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-22
  • 🇹🇼 Unemployment Rate (AUG) Actual: 4.08% Previous: 4.36% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-22
  • Heads Up:🇹🇼 Unemployment Rate (AUG) due at 08:00 GMT (15min) Previous: 4.36% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-22
  • Heads Up:🇿🇦 Inflation Rate YoY (AUG) due at 08:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 4.8% Previous: 4.6% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-22
  • Heads Up:💶 ECB Non-Monetary Policy Meeting due at 08:00 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-22
  • ECB's Muller - ECB to discuss raising regular QE when PEPP ends $EUR
Japanese Yen Risks Larger Correction on Strong GDP, Less Dovish BoJ

Japanese Yen Risks Larger Correction on Strong GDP, Less Dovish BoJ

David Song, Strategist
Japanese Yen Risks Larger Correction on Strong GDP, Less Dovish BoJ

Fundamental Forecast for Japanese Yen: Neutral

Japan’s 4Q Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report may heighten the appeal of the Yen and encourage the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to soften its dovish tone for monetary policy as the region is expected to return to growth during the last three-months of 2014.

The Japanese economy is expected to come out of the technical recession from 2014 as market participants look for a 0.9% rebound in the growth rate, and the recovery may push the BoJ to retain its current policy at the February 18 meeting as the central bank argues that any additional stimulus at this point is ‘counterproductive.’ As a result, Governor Haruhiko Kuroda may highlight an improved outlook for the region and promote a wait-and-see approach for the foreseeable future as the central bank head remains confident in achieve the 2% target for inflation over the policy horizon. With that said, the fresh batch of central bank rhetoric may spur a further decline in USD/JPY as market participants scale back bets for additional monetary support in 2015.

At the same time, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes will also be closely watched as a growing number of central bank officials show a greater willingness to normalize monetary policy in mid-2015. Indeed, the Fed may continue to highlight an upbeat tone for the U.S. economy as the central bank anticipates lower energy prices to have a positive impact on the economy, but the policy statement may do little to spur a near-term rally in USD/JPY as the slowdown in private-sector consumption undermines the outlook for growth and inflation. In turn, dollar-yen may continue to consolidate and face range-bound prices throughout the remainder of the month as market participants weigh the outlook for monetary policy.

Despite the pickup in risk sentiment, USD/JPY may continue to give back the rebound from 116.86 and work its way back towards the monthly low after failing to push above the January high (120.73). As a result, we will continue to watch support/resistance in the week ahead, and may need a major fundamental catalyst to establish a new near-term trend in USD/JPY as a wedge/triangle pattern continues to take shape.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES