News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
Wall Street
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • (AUD Weekly Tech) Australian Dollar May Wilt, Downtrends Resume: AUD/USD, AUD/JPY, AUD/NZD, AUD/CAD https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/fx_technical_weekly/2021/09/19/Australian-Dollar-May-Wilt-Downtrends-Resume-AUDUSD-AUDJPY-AUDNZD-AUDCAD.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/DedoOKJMXh
  • Entry orders are a valuable tool in forex trading. Traders can strategize to come up with a great trading plan, but if they can’t execute that plan effectively, all their hard work might as well be thrown out. Learn how to place entry orders here: https://t.co/1mnOXUuBpt https://t.co/GQB0ic9Ahe
  • The continuity seen across these volatility cycles is a good thing. Historical precedence offer a blueprint for identifying conditions supportive for a vol-event to occur, and how they may unfold. Deepen your knowledge of historical volatility here: https://t.co/vg7w10la3j https://t.co/lx3cMSpZNc
  • Further your forex knowledge and gain insights from our expert analysts on EUR with our free guide, available today: https://t.co/XtydfUNW0y https://t.co/n4NXZUovb0
  • Scoping out next week for trading the market, there are a range of high profile influences including September PMIs, Evergrande and a range of central bank decisions. Top listing on my docket is the #FOMC with my scenarios below. Full analysis: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2021/09/18/SP-500-and-Dollar-on-the-Hook-for-Breaks-with-Evergrande-Fed-and-September-Trade-Ahead.html https://t.co/ZdoMJS9fp5
  • Looking for a new way to trade reversals? One of the most used reversal candle patterns is known as the Harami. Like most candlestick formation patterns, the Harami tells a story about sentiment in the market. Get better with trading reversals here: https://t.co/rfwUWJfbz9 https://t.co/Q3Yfe6TMLw
  • The non-farm payroll (NFP) figure is a key economic indicator for the United States economy. It is also referred to as the monthly market mover. Find out why it has been given this nickname here: https://t.co/yOUVEEqhc5 https://t.co/6inC94w5K4
  • All eyes on the Fed on Wednesday as investors weigh on chances of a taper announcement. Get your weekly equities forecast from @HathornSabin here: https://t.co/Cv06XcvldF https://t.co/I12g2YPkdE
  • Knowing how to accurately value a stock enables traders to identify and take advantage of opportunities in the stock market. Find out the difference between a stock's market and intrinsic value, and the importance of the two here: https://t.co/QszmdZFxlk https://t.co/KsPiWBysiR
  • GDP (Gross Domestic Product) economic data is deemed highly significant in the forex market. GDP figures are used as an indicator by fundamentalists to gauge the overall health and potential growth of a country. Learn use GDP data to your advantage here: https://t.co/Yl9vM7kO6a https://t.co/iUvhLfQgcK
GBP: The Central Bank Clears the Path for Rate Hikes

GBP: The Central Bank Clears the Path for Rate Hikes

Nick Cawley, Strategist
GBP: The Central Bank Clears the Path for Rate Hikes

Talking Points:

  • GBP/USD hits a 15-month high.
  • Market expectations now point to a 0.25% rate hike in 2017.
  • GBP/USD may test 1.4000 if the FOMC disappoints on Wednesday.

Fundamental Forecast for GBP: Bullish

The bank of England made clear this week that markets are underestimating the possibility of an interest rate hike this year, despite weak GDP and wage growth numbers. The clear message was sent out by governor Carney after Thursday’s MPC meeting and reinforced by a hawkish speech by BOE policy maker Gert Vlieghe, a one-time dove. Cable duly responded hitting a 15-month high and still has room to move to the upside, especially as the USD remains weak.

On the weekly chart the 38.2% retracement of the July 2014 – October 2016 sell-off comes into play at 1.39116 while the a gap up to 1.40175 also remains to be filled, helping to complete a reverse head and shoulders. Support remains at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1.31379, while the August 3 high of 1.32700 should also provide a layer of downside protection.

Chart: GBP/USD Weekly Time Frame (April 2014 – September 15, 2017)

GBP: The Central Bank Clears the Path for Rate Hikes

Care should be taken at the start and the end of the week with BOE governor Carney speaking to the IMF on Monday while UK PM Theresa May sets out the government’s position on Brexit in a speech in Florence on Friday. And just to keep traders on their toes, the latest FOMC policy decision, summary of economic projections and accompanying press conference are unveiled on Wednesday.

--- Written by Nick Cawley, Analyst

To contact Nick, email him at nicholas.cawley@ig.com

Follow Nick on Twitter @nickcawley1

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES