News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 91.19%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 70.12%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/V8ZnsZ4edi
  • S&P 500 Index Rebound May Offer Relief for Nikkei 225 and ASX 200 https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/05/14/SP-500-Index-Rebound-May-Offer-Relief-for-Nikkei-225-and-ASX-200.html https://t.co/ZnGfxTKewh
  • Update on #Cryptocurrencies #BITCOIN +1.94% #BITCOINCASH +5.98% #ETHEREUM +3.83% #RIPPLE +4.27% #LITECOIN +4.10% #DOGECOIN +10.44%
  • The British Pound gained aggressively, placing the focus on levels that may send GBP/USD and GBP/JPY lower, with EUR/GBP still open to a turn higher. Will Sterling’s advance continue? Get your $GBP market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/PHoCHVc20M https://t.co/NKKwqiEESG
  • RT @FxWestwater: #Corn had quite the day, with a big limit-down drop after the USDA #WASDE report forecasted higher ending stocks. https://…
  • Japan plans virus emergency in Hokkaido, Hiroshima and Okayama -BBG
  • The Dow Jones and S&P 500 outlook appears bleak in the near term as retail traders increase their upside exposure. At the same time, these indices confirmed bearish technical warning signs. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/fKCHELbOxo https://t.co/9C6i6IHqCr
  • USD/CHF May Reverse Downtrend if Falling Wedge Plays Out - #USDCHF chart https://t.co/6VXrYbCodi
  • The Euro's technical posture against the US Dollar, Japanese Yen and Australian Dollar shows potential for near-term directional shifts. Here are the EUR/USD, EUR/AUD and EUR/JPY levels to watch. Get your $EUR market update from @FxWestwater here:https://t.co/7rW8FGPBUt https://t.co/Lu6KAC3YzQ
  • #Dogecoin up over 13% as Elon Musk tweets he is working with #Doge devs to improve system transaction efficiency, adding it is 'potentially promising' This is a day after #Tesla suspended Bitcoin payments for vehicle purchases, courtesy of @FxWestwater - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/asia_am_briefing/2021/05/12/Bitcoin-BTC-Plunges-on-Tesla-Bitcoin-Suspension-AUDUSD-Spars-USD-Strength.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/NlPFPbGGSL
Canadian Dollar: Poor Jobs Data + Weak Oil = Further Slippage

Canadian Dollar: Poor Jobs Data + Weak Oil = Further Slippage

Martin Essex, MSTA, Analyst
Canadian Dollar: Poor Jobs Data + Weak Oil = Further Slippage

Fundamental Forecast for CAD: Bearish

  • Weak employment data Friday and tumbling oil prices suggest little upside for the Canadian currency.
  • Combined, they point to the Bank of Canada keeping monetary policy highly accommodative and further gains for USD/CAD.
  • Check out the DailyFX Economic Calendar and see what live coverage of key event risk impacting FX marketsis scheduled for the week on the DailyFX Webinar Calendar.

Friday’s news that Canadian employment rose by a mere 3,200 in April, well below both expectations of a 10,000 increase and the previous month’s 19,400 advance, was deeply disappointing. Moreover, full-time employment actually fell by 31,200.

That followed news a fortnight earlier that Canadian inflation had slowed more than economists had forecast in March as food and clothing prices fell. Measures of core prices also declined, worsening Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz’s concerns that too much slack remains in the economy.

Then there’s oil, which is the mainstay of the Canadian economy. The price of a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude has dropped from $54 on April 12 to below $47 now and was at $44 at one point last week.

Taking all these factors together, it’s likely that BoC monetary policy will remain highly accommodative for a long time yet and that downside momentum for the CAD will grow, as it has for many other commodity currencies hit by falling raw material prices.

Chart: USD/CAD Daily Timeframe (2017 to Date)

Canadian Dollar: Poor Jobs Data + Weak Oil = Further Slippage

Chart by IG

So far this year, USD/CAD has already climbed from below 1.30 at its weak-point at the end of January to almost 1.37 currently and there’s little resistance now before the 1.3818/38 lows hit in late December 2015. If those are breached, the next obvious target would be the 1.40 round number.

It’s worth noting too that EUR/CAD has been rising strongly for the past three weeks and that momentum could pick up too.

--- Written by Martin Essex, Analyst and Editor

To contact Martin, email him at martin.essex@ig.com

Follow Martin on Twitter @MartinSEssex

If you’re looking for trading ideas, check out our Trading Guides; they’re free and updated for the second quarter of 2017

If you’re looking for ideas more short-term in nature, check out the IG Client Sentiment Data

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES