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G7 Comments May Help Aussie, NZ Dollar Rebound as Yen Falls

G7 Comments May Help Aussie, NZ Dollar Rebound as Yen Falls

2016-05-20 06:36:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

Talking Points:

  • Yen falls, commodity-bloc FX gains as risk appetite recovers overnight
  • New Zealand Dollar outperforms on fading RBNZ rate cut speculation
  • G7 officials’ comments may help sentiment rebound into the week-end

The Japanese Yen underperformed in overnight trade as stocks advanced, weighing on the anti-risk currency. Not surprisingly, the sentiment-linked Australian and New Zealand Dollars traded higher alongside share prices.

The Kiwi outperformed as the island nation’s front-end bond yields pushed upward, hinting at ebbing RBNZ rate cut speculation. Indeed, a gauge of the priced-in 12-month outlook implied in OIS rates has moved to the least dovish in four months.

The overall risk appetite recovery likely reflects corrective flows after yesterday’s Fed-inspired selloff. Fears of imminent stimulus withdrawal swelled as traders digested unmistakably hawkish rhetoric within minutes from April’s FOMC meeting, pushing the MSCI Asia Pacific regional benchmark equity index to a monthly low.

Stock index futures are trading notably higher ahead of the opening bell in Europe, hinting the risk-on mood is aiming to carry through into the week-end. Sideline comments from a meeting of G7 finance ministers and central bank governors may help if officials hint at on-coming fiscal measures to boost sagging global growth as monetary efforts appear increasingly stretched.

What does retail traders’ buying and selling say about market trends? Find out here!

Asia Session

GMT

CCY

EVENT

ACT

EXP

PREV

22:45

NZD

Net Migration SA (APR)

5520

-

5330

3:00

NZD

Credit Card Spending (MoM) (APR)

2.5%

-

-1.4%

3:00

NZD

Credit Card Spending (YoY) (APR)

9.1%

-

4.8%

5:00

JPY

Nationwide Dept Sales (YoY) (APR)

-3.8%

-

-2.9%

5:00

JPY

Tokyo Dept Store Sales (YoY) (APR)

-1.5%

-

-1.1%

European Session

GMT

CCY

EVENT

EXP/ACT

PREV

IMPACT

6:00

EUR

German PPI (MoM) (APR)

0.1% (A)

0.0%

Medium

6:00

EUR

German PPI (YoY) (APR)

-3.1% (A)

-3.1%

Medium

7:00

JPY

Convenience Store Sales (YoY) (APR)

-

-0.1%

Low

8:00

EUR

ECB Current Account SA (MAR)

-

19.0b

Low

8:00

EUR

ECB Current Account NSA (MAR)

-

11.1b

Low

10:00

GBP

CBI Trends Total Orders (MAY)

-13

-11

Low

10:00

GBP

CBI Trends Selling Prices (MAY)

-

4

Low

Critical Levels

CCY

Supp 3

Supp 2

Supp 1

Pivot Point

Res 1

Res 2

Res 3

EUR/USD

1.1104

1.1154

1.1179

1.1204

1.1229

1.1254

1.1304

GBP/USD

1.4410

1.4511

1.4561

1.4612

1.4662

1.4713

1.4814

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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