News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 92.65%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 77.78%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/mhS5GPlzBU
  • Commodities Update: As of 07:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Gold: -0.17% Oil - US Crude: -0.22% Silver: -0.33% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/DrnTBv3TGT
  • Forex sentiment analysis can be a useful tool to help traders understand and act on price behavior. Learn how to get the most out of understanding trader sentiment here: https://t.co/rJznrXkcYz https://t.co/F98u380a6a
  • Forex Update: As of 07:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇳🇿NZD: 0.63% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.42% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.15% 🇪🇺EUR: 0.01% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.00% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.07% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/qb29dNwFFu
  • 🇨🇭 Consumer Confidence (Q3) Actual: 10 Previous: -18 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-08-03
  • 🇪🇸 Unemployment Change (JUL) Actual: -197.8K Previous: -166.9K https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-08-03
  • Indices Update: As of 07:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Wall Street: 0.31% US 500: 0.27% France 40: 0.20% FTSE 100: -0.04% Germany 30: -0.14% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/wOyy3Nhn5u
  • Heads Up:🇨🇭 Consumer Confidence (Q3) due at 07:00 GMT (15min) Previous: -7.1 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-08-03
  • Heads Up:🇪🇸 Unemployment Change (JUL) due at 07:00 GMT (15min) Previous: -166.9K https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-08-03
  • The ISM manufacturing index plays an important role in forex trading, with ISM data influencing currency prices globally. Learn about the importance of the ISM manufacturing index here: https://t.co/Xr3xtoFpZy https://t.co/JIeP0eAD3i
GBP/CAD Testing Key Support Ahead of Canada Employment

GBP/CAD Testing Key Support Ahead of Canada Employment

Michael Boutros, Strategist

Talking Points

  • GBP/CAD responds to confluence support ahead of key CAD data
  • Updated targets & invalidation levels
  • Click Here to be added to Michael’s email distribution list.

GBP/CAD Daily

GBPCAD Daily Chart

Technical Outlook: GBPCAD is responding to confluence support at 1.6357 where the 61.8% retracement of the October advance converges on the median-line of the embedded descending pitchfork extending off the November highs. The immediate short-bias is at risk while above this threshold and heading into tomorrow’s Canada employment report, the focus is against this key support zone. Resistance is eyed at the upper parallel (blue) with a breach above the August low-day close at 1.6641 needed to validate a breakout. That said, keep in the mind that the broader focus remains weighted to the shorts-side while within this larger descending channel formation off the January 2016 high.

GBP/CAD120min

GBPCAD 120min Chart

Notes: The pair rebounded off the median-line with precision this week with the rally now approaching initial resistance at the 50-line around ~1.6455. Subsequent topside objectives are eyed at 1.6506 & the monthly open at 1.6580. Note that this level converges on the upper median-line parallel & may offer more rigid resistance – area of interest for possible exhaustion / short-entries. A breach above the 38.2% retracement / August low-day close at 1.6624/41 would be needed to suggest a more significant low is in place with such a scenario targeting 1.6742, the 61.8% retracement at 1.6813 & channel resistance (currently ~1.6940s).

A break below the median-line invalidates the reversal play and puts the broader short-bias in play targeting the 76.4% retracement (which converges on the lower 50-line) at 1.6177. Keep in mind this is a wider range setup with a quarter of the daily average true-range (ATR) yielding profit targets of 35-40pips per scalp. Added caution is warranted heading into tomorrow’s Canada employment report with the release likely to fuel added volatility in the Loonie crosses. Consensus estimates are calling for a contraction of 2.5K jobs in December, pushing the headline unemployment rate up to 6.9% from 6.8% a month earlier.

Relevant Data Releases

GBP/CAD Testing Key Support Ahead of Canada Employment

Other Setups in Play:

Looking for more trade ideas? Review DailyFX’s 2016 4Q Projections

---Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

Join Michael for Live Weekly Trading Webinars on Mondays on DailyFX at 13:30 GMT (8:30ET)

FollowMichael on Twitter @MBForex or contact him at mboutros@dailyfx.com

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES