0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bullish
Gold
Bearish
GBP/USD
Bearish
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • Heads Up:🇷🇺 Inflation Rate YoY (JUL) due at 16:00 GMT (15min) Expected: 3.4% Previous: 3.2% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2020-08-06
  • Japanese #Yen Outlook: $USDJPY Rebounds Off Support- Recovery Levels - https://t.co/3Q9KuieaSE https://t.co/iMyJx8fBwL
  • House Speaker Pelosi says "we have to think big" regarding stimulus $DXY $SPX
  • Hey traders! Get your Thursday market highlighs from @DailyFX Chief Strategist @JohnKicklighter 👇 https://t.co/com5RRIcDN
  • The @bankofengland left all policy measures unchanged today, in line with market expectations, and warned that Q2 GDP is likely to be over 20% lower than Q4 2019. Get your $GBPUSD market update from @nickcawley1 here:https://t.co/2VW5eo6n4e https://t.co/b5JDaKwSy9
  • Forex Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇬🇧GBP: 0.17% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.05% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.01% 🇪🇺EUR: -0.32% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.38% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.43% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/REQGchSDuu
  • Indices Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Wall Street: -0.11% US 500: -0.21% Germany 30: -0.43% France 40: -0.87% FTSE 100: -1.31% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/TBhojLnpbO
  • Forgot to mention in my video last night in the rundown of the Dollar's retreat, $USDCNH has broken the channel floor 6.9750 https://t.co/lxFHbaKxSQ
  • Commodities Update: As of 14:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 4.89% Gold: 1.27% Oil - US Crude: 0.24% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/gB4DPuEZv2
  • Read a headline that rankled me this morning that markets aren't pricing in a vaccine. We have at the very least suffered a historically fast and sharp economic contraction where at least some of the damage is permanent. And $SPX is a sneeze away (pun intended) from a record...
Crude Oil Price Drop May Continue if UK GDP Data Disappoints

Crude Oil Price Drop May Continue if UK GDP Data Disappoints

2019-02-11 06:30:00
Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC
Share:

CRUDE OIL & GOLD TALKING POINTS:

  • Crude oil prices make good on bearish chart setup, hit 3-week low
  • Gold prices rise as global slowdown worries weigh on bond yields
  • Risk appetite may suffer further if 4Q UK GDP figures disappoint

Crude oil prices paused to digest losses Friday following a brisk, sentiment-driven drop. Gold prices rose as yields continued to drift lower amid lingering global slowdown fears. The rate on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond hit a weekly low, boosting the relative appeal of non-interest-bearing assets.

UK GDP DATA MAY SOUR SENTIMENT, WEIGHING ON CRUDE OIL

Fourth-quarter UK GDP data is in the spotlight from here, with forecasts pointing to a slowdown. Output is expected to have added 0.3 percent in the final three months of 2018, down from 0.6 percent in the three months to September. The on-year trend growth rate is projected to tick down to 1.4 percent.

UK economic news-flow has notably deteriorated relative to analysts’ baseline projections recently, opening the door for a disappointing outcome. That might compound concerns about a downturn in the global business cycle, sending crude oil lower alongside other risky assets.

The implications of such an outcome for gold are bit more convoluted. Support from a further drop in bond yields may be countervailed if haven-seeking capital flows buoy the US Dollar, undermining the appeal of anti-fiat alternatives epitomized by the yellow metal.

See our guide to learn about the long-term forces driving crude oil prices!

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Gold prices continue to stall above a dense layer of support underpinned by a rising trend line set from mid-November. A break through this barrier – confirmed on a daily close below 1294.10 – would expose the support shelf at 1276.50 next. Alternatively, a push above chart inflection point resistance at 1323.60 sets the stage for a challenge of the pivotal 1357.50-66.06 region.

Gold price chart - daily

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Crude oil prices are edging lower after producing a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern as expected, hitting a three-week low. From here, a daily close below support in the 49.41-50.15 area opens the door for a decline toward the 42.05-55 zone. Alternatively, a reversal back above the February 4 high at 55.75 sees the next layer of resistance in the 57.96-59.05 region.

Crude oil price chart - daily

COMMODITY TRADING RESOURCES

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Ilya, use the comments section below or @IlyaSpivak on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.