News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Bullish
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • ETH now breaking below its 200DMA - May 23rd low at 1736 https://t.co/WOr1tveDDU
  • BoE's Haskel (Dove) has been appointed for a second term Catherine Mann appointed to the BoE's MPC and will replace Vlieghe who is leaving the MPC in August
  • Traders focus a lot of their energy on spotting the perfect time to enter a trade. While this is important, it is ultimately where traders choose to exit trades that will determine success. Learn about the three types of trading exit strategies here: https://t.co/muYkTNXH7s https://t.co/NegC8Mfbq8
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 85.96%, while traders in GBP/JPY are at opposite extremes with 68.05%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/T9v0aosH41
  • Heads Up:🇧🇷 BCB Copom Meeting Minutes due at 11:00 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-06-22
  • The non-farm payroll (NFP) figure is a key economic indicator for the United States economy. It is also referred to as the monthly market mover. Find out why it has been given this nickname here: https://t.co/yOUVEEqhc5 https://t.co/2Msf0Dma64
  • Commodities Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Gold: -0.01% Silver: -0.05% Oil - US Crude: -0.57% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/kfGYnBnPzL
  • Forex Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇯🇵JPY: -0.09% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.13% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.17% 🇨🇭CHF: -0.28% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.40% 🇦🇺AUD: -0.42% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/uguqoq37JO
  • Indices Update: As of 10:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: FTSE 100: 0.17% Wall Street: -0.09% US 500: -0.12% France 40: -0.16% Germany 30: -0.20% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/D92F7Uappm
  • Russian Energy Source says good timing to further ease oil cuts in August, despite expected Iranian oil export return as market is in deficit https://t.co/zlm46bMcWN
Gold Prices Struggle to Capitalize on Market Meltdown

Gold Prices Struggle to Capitalize on Market Meltdown

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

GOLD & CRUDE OIL TALKING POINTS:

  • Gold prices struggle as yields, US Dollar diverge amid sentiment swings
  • Crude oil prices tracking stock markets’ response to fizzling risk appetite
  • Third-quarter US GDP data may serve to amplify risk-off trade dynamics

Gold prices tiptoed lower while crude oil prices rose tepidly with stocks amid a brief interlude in the broad-based risk appetite collapse defining financial markets this week (as expected). These moves’ corrective character was made plain soon enough however as sentiment soured anew in Asia Pacific trade.

Regional shares plunged and the WTI benchmark followed. Gold probed higher as yields fell but haven-seeking demand for the US Dollar made for paltry progress. S&P 500 futures are pointing sharply lower, hinting at more of the same on tap in hours ahead.

Third-quarter US GDP data may amplify the risk-off push. Growth is seen slowing to an annualized rate of 3.3 percent, down from the four-year high of 4.2 percent previously. That is both a large-enough comedown to rattle already jittery investors and a strong-enough print to keep Fed rate hikes on track.

See our gold forecast to learn what is likely to drive price action through year-end!

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Gold prices failed to make good on yet another attempt to breach resistance in the 1235.24-41.64 area. Reversing lower from here sees support in the 1211.05-14.30 zone, with a break below that targeting the September 28 low at 1180.86. Alternatively, a rally beyond resistance exposes the 1260.80-66.44 region.

Gold price chart - daily

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Crude oil prices edged meekly higher but the recovery was ably capped by support-turned-resistance set from early February, now in the 66.87-68.74 area. Renewed selling sees initially targets the 64.26-45 area, with a daily close below that exposing April’s swing low at 61.84. Alternatively, a move back above 68.74 paves the way for a retest of the 70.05-26 region. Longer-term technical positioning hints a major top is in the works.

Crude oil price chart - daily

COMMODITY TRADING RESOURCES

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Ilya, use the comments section below or @IlyaSpivak on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES