News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Emotions are often a key driving force behind FOMO. If left unchecked, they can lead traders to neglect trading plans and exceed comfortable levels of risk. Read on and get your emotions in check here: https://t.co/eILWbFgHRE https://t.co/pSeSiNnmHe
  • There are three major forex trading sessions which comprise the 24-hour market: the London session, the US session and the Asian session. Learn about the characteristics of each session here: https://t.co/reRmDe1Ksp https://t.co/iVOEuK40rn
  • Implementing a trading checklist is a vital part of the trading process because it helps traders to stay disciplined, stick to the trading plan, and builds confidence. Learn how to stick to the plan, stay disciplined, and use a checklist here: https://t.co/SQUCCYRCIk https://t.co/ltEO5dpKux
  • WTI crude oil is currently trading up against major resistance via the 2019 and 2020 highs within the confines of a channel; something has to give. Get your market update from @PaulRobinsonFX here: https://t.co/MO9foRjm2y https://t.co/YhBFdvZDEb
  • The Dow Jones and S&P 500 outlook appears bleak in the near term as retail traders increase their upside exposure. At the same time, these indices confirmed bearish technical warning signs. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/fKCHELbOxo https://t.co/eVDwmFTaIg
  • Use this technical analysis pattern recognition skills test to sharpen your knowledge: https://t.co/Qgz89PTxnu https://t.co/8B8hqHahm1
  • The US Dollar finished off an eventful week after CPI and retail sales injected volatility into markets. FOMC is now in the Greenback’s sights as taper talks linger. Get your market update from @FxWestwater here: https://t.co/MHi0lfQ93j https://t.co/4XetwYAaNd
  • Get your snapshot update of the of market open and closing times for each major trading hub around the globe here: https://t.co/BgZLFljIhZ https://t.co/ZZRLV0Wkea
  • The Nasdaq 100 index has likely formed a bearish Gartley pattern, which hints at further downside potential. Negative MACD divergence on the weekly chart suggests that upward momentum may be fading. Get your market update from @margaretyjy here: https://t.co/GkMEkVA7YR https://t.co/E1vyCMVt6K
  • Struggling to define key levels? Floor-Trader Pivots assist traders in identifying areas in a chart where price is likely to approach and can be used to set appropriate targets, while effectively managing risk. Learn how to use this indicator here: https://t.co/Ye4m1G4lMu https://t.co/2TpkkUu7Hg
Is the Bitcoin Party Over? Crypto Threatens Major Reversal

Is the Bitcoin Party Over? Crypto Threatens Major Reversal

Michael Boutros, Strategist

To receive Michael’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE

Talking Points

BTC/USD Daily

BTC/USD Daily Chart

Technical Outlook: Bitcoin responded to a key support confluence this week at 2258 where the 61.8% extension of the decline off the record highs converges on basic median-line support. This threshold may continue to offer a near-term reprieve but the medium-term outlook remains tilted to the downside after Sunday’s breakdown. Interim resistance stands with the monthly open 2465 with a breach / close above the 2017 high-day close at 2667 needed to mark resumption of the broader uptrend.

BTC/USD 240min

BTC/USD 240min Chart

Notes: A closer look at the 240min chart sees bullish divergence into these recent lows, further highlighting the risk for a near-term recovery in the pair (note that the pair is on pace to post an outside-day reversal off the lows today).

That said, look for initial resistance at 2455/65 backed by the median-line confluence around ~2522- both areas of interest for possible near-term exhaustion / short-entries. If the early-month breakdown is an indication of a turn in broader trend, price should not exceed 2640.

Interim support remains with the Fibonacci confluence at 2258/64 with a break below the median-line targeting subsequent support objectives at 2120 & the 200-day moving average, currently ~1996. From a trading standpoint, the immediate risk is for the rebound to drift higher here but ultimately, the outlook remains bearish while within this formation / below the monthly range highs.

Join Michael on July 21st for a Live Webinar on the Foundations of Technical Analysis- Register for Free Here!

---

Relevant Data Releases

Economic Docket

Other Setups in Play:

- Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

Follow Michael on Twitter @MBForex or contact him at mboutros@dailyfx.com.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES