We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bullish
USD/JPY
Bullish
Gold
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Bitcoin
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • Forex Update: As of 02:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇪🇺EUR: 0.08% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.08% 🇬🇧GBP: 0.08% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.00% 🇨🇦CAD: -0.02% 🇳🇿NZD: -0.06% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/CgxEYwIJwg
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Ripple are long at 97.02%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 79.02%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/bg6hp5gM3n
  • Gold on the brink of another big breakout? $XAU $GC_F $GLD https://t.co/0RRauXBIke
  • Overnight index swaps are pricing in a less than even chance (3.7%) of a rate cut from the Bank of Canada at next week’s interest rate decision #CAD
  • #Gold prices may fall while the US Dollar gains even as economic policies championed by the Trump administration invite inflation. Get your market update from @IlyaSpivak here: https://t.co/4lHhHsby56 $XAUUSD https://t.co/vT0Qqh6gy4
  • RT @TheEconomist: The mood in corporate America is darkening https://t.co/dBrDHdUzm4
  • Japan’s Nikkei PMI Manufacturing (OCT P) Actual: 48.5 Est: N/A Previous: 48.9 #JPY
  • The $NZD has attempted to recover against its US namesake as expected but the move may be cut short as sellers reclaim the upper hand. Get your NZD/USD market update from @IlyaSpivak here: https://t.co/D0LAlHHfuf https://t.co/wBcFhnfcAI
  • Japan’s Nikkei Japan PMI Manufacturing (OCT P) Actual: 48.5 Est: N/A Previous: 48.9 #JPY
  • #USDollar Forecast: #USDBRL Breakout Opening Door to Selloff? https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/analyst_picks/todays_picks/dimitri_zabelin/2019/10/24/US-Dollar-Forecast-USDBRL-Breakout-Opening-Door-to-Selloff.html
US Dollar Price Action Setups: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/JPY

US Dollar Price Action Setups: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/JPY

2019-10-03 19:00:00
James Stanley, Currency Strategist
Share:

US Dollar Talking Points:

  • The US Dollar has shown bearish reversal tendencies so far in the early-portion of Q4.
  • Tomorrow brings Non-Farm Payrolls and heavy focus will likely continue to be paid towards US data in the effort of reading just how dovish the FOMC might be.
  • DailyFX Forecasts are published on a variety of markets such as Gold, the US Dollar or the Euro and are available from the DailyFX Trading Guides page. If you’re looking to improve your trading approach, check out Traits of Successful Traders. And if you’re looking for an introductory primer to the Forex market, check out our New to FX Guide.

US Dollar Q4 Reversal Continues

The US Dollar has started Q4 with a pullback and that theme runs into tomorrow’s big item on the economic calendar, Non-Farm Payrolls for the month of September. US data for this week has been poor and this has taken a toll on both the US Dollar and US equities, keeping the door open for wider pullbacks in each market for Q4. This would be similar to the backdrop seen around last year’s Q4 open, when a Fed that wasn’t dovish enough was firmly in the spotlight as risk markets lost their bid and began to pullback. In this webinar, I looked at a variety of markets in anticipation of tomorrow’s NFP report and thereafter, looking to work with trends on either side of the US Dollar while also keeping focus of some key commodity markets.

The US Dollar Weekly Price Chart

us dollar weekly price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; US Dollar on Tradingview

EUR/USD Tests Resistance at 1.1000

I had looked at resistance on EUR/USD on Tuesday around the 1.1000 handle. That’s since come back into play, offering a bit of confluence with a bearish trendline projection.

EUR/USD Eight-Hour Price Chart

eurusd price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; EURUSD on Tradingview

GBP/USD: Cable Questions After Messy Past Week

As I had looked at on Tuesday, the support break in GBP/USD brought the bullish theme into question. Now that USD-weakness has gotten a bit louder, buyers have gotten back on the bid in GBP/USD to push back above the 1.2300 handle. This is still far from a settled manner but taking shorter-term price action can allow for a bullish backdrop, looking for a higher-low support hold in the zone that runs from 1.2324-1.2343.

GBP/USD Two-Hour Price Chart

gbpusd two hour price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; GBPUSD on Tradingview

AUD/USD Bounces From Support Test at .6700, Tests Short-Term Resistance

On the long side of the US Dollar, AUD/USD remains attractive. As looked at on Tuesday, the support area just below the .6700 handle hasn’t yet shown signs of giving up. Taking this recent bout of USD-weakness into account, a counter-trend move has developed that’s pushed prices back to resistance as taken from prior support. This can keep the short-side of the pair as attractive, particularly for long-USD strategies ahead of tomorrow’s NFP report.

AUD/USD Four-Hour Price Chart

audusd four hour price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; AUDUSD on Tradingview

USD/JPY: Bearish Potential

This one syncs with the potential for greater risk aversion, and resistance potential exists around the prior area of support, taken from around the 107-handle.

USD/JPY Two-Hour Price Chart

usdjpy two hour price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; USDJPY on Tradingview

To read more:

Are you looking for longer-term analysis on the U.S. Dollar? Our DailyFX Forecasts have a section for each major currency, and we also offer a plethora of resources on Gold or USD-pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD. Traders can also stay up with near-term positioning via our IG Client Sentiment Indicator.

Forex Trading Resources

DailyFX offers an abundance of tools, indicators and resources to help traders. For those looking for trading ideas, our IG Client Sentiment shows the positioning of retail traders with actual live trades and positions. Our trading guides bring our DailyFX Quarterly Forecasts and our Top Trading Opportunities; and our real-time news feed has intra-day interactions from the DailyFX team. And if you’re looking for real-time analysis, our DailyFX Webinars offer numerous sessions each week in which you can see how and why we’re looking at what we’re looking at.

If you’re looking for educational information, our New to FX guide is there to help new(er) traders while our Traits of Successful Traders research is built to help sharpen the skill set by focusing on risk and trade management.

--- Written by James Stanley, Strategist for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.