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Video: How Greece Can Trigger a Broader USD Move

Video: How Greece Can Trigger a Broader USD Move

2015-02-20 01:27:00
John Kicklighter, Chief Strategist
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Talking Points:

• A Greece-Eurozone standoff over austerity is heading into yet another important deadline

• The Euro will feel the most directed impact by this event, and 'risk trends' will also feel the ripples

• Given EURUSD liquidity, a USD haven status and the currency's indecision; a big Dollar move may be had

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Whether the debate over austerity terms between the Eurozone and Greece is resolved or evolves into a full-blown crisis, the Euro will feel the impact. Yet, the impact won't end there. The Dollar is positioned such that it will directly feel the effects of the off-shore risk. From a traditional fundamental perspective, the Greenback is a safe haven currency - a feature whose value will rise or fall depending on the progress made through Friday. Furthermore, from a purely capital flow perspective, EURUSD is the world's most liquid currency pair; and a big move (again relief or collapse) will pull the Dollar more broadly with it. And, then there is the technical perspective with USDollar and many of the USD-based majors in tight consolidation and pining for a breakout. We discuss the Dollar's standing with the oncoming Greek winds in today's Strategy Video.

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