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Gold Price Breakout In for a Big Test

Gold Price Breakout In for a Big Test

Paul Robinson, Strategist

Gold Price Technical Highlights:

  • Gold breaking out of range, big test at hand
  • Three peaks from 2011/12 to hurdle

Gold breaking out of range, big test at hand

Last week, gold was described as being boring, but that it was a good thing to be moving sideways because it meant it was building a solid base to rally from. With yesterday’s breakout, gold can has a shot at taking on a major hurdle from 2011/12.

Looking at three peaks formed during the topping sequence in 2011/12, there is a small, but strong zone from 1795 up to 1803. For spot gold to reach the 2011 high of 1920 it is the next barrier to focus on. It should not be surprising to see it struggle there, but perhaps it doesn’t. Which is why the two-month base from which gold is rallying from was a good thing despite it having been frustrating for short-term maneuvers. It may have helped build up enough power to push on through.

As long as the recent range breakout isn’t breached with authority the outlook will be viewed as bullish even if there is some initial struggles to cross 1800 with conviction. And if it does cross over the threshold then that major level of resistance will be viewed as a new level of support.

For now, running with a long bias until evidence comes in to the contrary. Silver is also lined up well as it has been a solid-looking trend since the March low. Watch for it to cross 18.38 to further along the trend towards 19.64, and possibly higher.

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Gold Price Daily Chart (breaking out)

Gold price daily chart

Gold Price Weekly Chart (2011/12 peaks)

Gold price weekly chart

Gold Price Charts by TradingView

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---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinsonFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.