We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Bearish
GBP/USD
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
USD/JPY
Mixed
Gold
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Mixed
Bitcoin
Mixed
More View more
Notice

DailyFX PLUS Content Now Available Freely to all DailyFX Users

Real Time News
  • Lessons from Bretton Woods are forgotten, the US-China #tradewar represents a true existential threat to the post-World War II international trade order, and in turn, the globalized economy that has grown out of the ashes of history. More from @CVecchioFX :https://t.co/paaBxX6Xt0 https://t.co/Lk229DNh6n
  • Catch up with @JStanleyFX as he walks through some FX price action setups post-FOMC. Get your recap here: https://t.co/MD2PB33t0L
  • What is the @ecb (European Central Bank)? What are the key mandates of the bank and how can it affect the #forex market? Find out: https://t.co/romV4hPQJv https://t.co/4nlCaUNhpD
  • Your psychology has a significant impact on the decisions you make, particularly if you are new to trading. How can you avoid your emotions from turning you into a #FOMO trader? Find out: https://t.co/FC7CHpk9vA #FOMOintrading https://t.co/WSDr3JkpAG
  • $AUDUSD: Short-term support could lead-in to a quick bounce up to resistance as taken from another prior support level, plotted around the .6830 level on the chart. Get your market update from @JStanleyFX here: https://t.co/tUoe1Roo5t https://t.co/omaDxGNhZU
  • Central bank independence has several advantages. Find out what they are in detail with @MartinSEssex here: https://t.co/wVFXbbTxf1 https://t.co/cQQmuH8biQ
  • The US Dollar remains in consolidation mode against the Philippine Peso and Indian Rupee. Will the Singapore Dollar weaken as $USDSGD rising support holds ahead? Find out from @ddubrovskyFX here: https://t.co/HZ8Loqj3Ey https://t.co/6PCFkdj3ka
  • Follow @DailyFXedu for your regular #webinar updates with @DailyFX analysts and catch up on the webinars you missed. https://t.co/Da10QUg9r1
  • Greed has proven to be a hindrance more than assistance for traders. How does greed lead to #FOMOintrading? Find out from @RichardSnowFX here: https://t.co/aT8TZjlFqP https://t.co/Le8Qx6OOwV
  • $GBPUSD at the moment break-even straddles = 152pips meaning that for option traders to realize gains, the spot price must see a move greater than 152pips. Get your market update from @JMcQueenFX here: https://t.co/odj2lLRrGf https://t.co/RXCBwHGluG
Gold Price & Silver Outlook Still Favors Sellers

Gold Price & Silver Outlook Still Favors Sellers

2019-05-09 17:00:00
Paul Robinson, Currency Strategist
Share:

Gold Price & Silver Technical Points:

  • Gold price can’t rise above confluent resistance
  • Silver trading at trend-line, top of wedge
  • Trends favor lower prices until resistance broken

See what intermediate-term fundamental drivers and technical signposts our team of analysts are watching in the DailyFX Q2 Gold Forecast.

Gold price can’t rise above confluent resistance

Trading gold recently hasn’t been a clean game as it has become stuck between support and resistance. We aren’t seeing gold find much of a bid today from either risk-off in equities or the Dollar dropping. Perhaps a sign of relative weakness, perhaps not.

Looking at the technical picture in a vacuum there are two forms of resistance coming together to keep a lid on gold, in addition to it having a weak trend and recent pattern-break. The trend-lines from both the top and bottom-side of the descending wedge formation in place since February arrive in the same vicinity.

There was a nice rejection candlestick on Wednesday which helped solidify the confluent lines as highly relevant in the near-term. Maintain below the rejection-day high of 1292 and the outlook is neutral at best. A decline from current levels will quickly bring into play the important August trend-line, with a break below that threshold bringing into play the bottom of the recent range at 1266.

A break of 1266 is needed for full confirmation that gold wants to build on the trend since the top created in February, with the 200-day and 1230s up next as targeted support. A break above the trend-line and 1292 high will be somewhat encouraging for longs and bring into play resistance first up around the 1310-mark.

Before getting too excited about a break, though, we may see some more range activity first. One side or the other will give-way at some point; right now, the edge still remains tilted towards the downside.

Check out the IG Client Sentiment page to see how changes in trader positioning can help signal the next price move in gold and other major markets and currencies.

Gold Price Daily Chart (watch 1292, 1266)

Gold price daily chart, watch 1292, 1266

Silver trading at trend-line, top of wedge

Silver posted a strong fake-out last week when it broke down from a falling wedge and then quickly reversed course. It threatened to then break the top of the wedge which would have given silver a bullish bias. However, as we are seeing it is starting to drift back lower again. A break below 14.56 will negate the bullish day and have silver looking lower again. To confirm a top-side wedge-break confirmation is seen as breaking out above a minor swing level at 15.10.

Silver Daily Chart (riding on falling wedge t-line)

Silver daily chart, riding on falling wedge t-line

Resources for Forex & CFD Traders

Whether you are a new or experienced trader, we have several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinsonFX

provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

News & Analysis at your fingertips.