News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bullish
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Mixed
GBP/USD
Bearish
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Notice

BoE Chief Econimist (Hawk) is to Step Down From BoE After June Meeting

Real Time News
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 92.41%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 75.87%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/akuL5mmcvW
  • Pfizer states it can deliver 10% more vaccine doses to the US by the end of May $PFE $SPX $NDX $RUT
  • Had the pleasure of sitting down with @GuyAdami and @RiskReversal for another episode of The Macro Setup to discuss $GLD $BTC and $SPX ahead of earnings season and the Coinbase IPO Watch here - https://t.co/6usEdkA5om
  • Indices Update: As of 20:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: France 40: 0.41% Germany 30: 0.06% Wall Street: 0.00% FTSE 100: 0.00% US 500: -0.01% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/0qT3sH7l3i
  • #Bitcoin breaks out to fresh all-time highs as investors cast an eye to the long awaited Coinbase IPO #BTC $BTCUSD https://t.co/qwxlzkGa9C
  • NY Fed Treasury purchase schedule remains unchanged - BBG
  • Silver posting a strong session, now up 2.3% on the day. In recent trade, silver has struggled to break above the 50-day EMA $XAG $USD https://t.co/BetnXeKLj3
  • Bitcoin sets another record high. BTC/USD gains traction in anticipation of Coinbase IPO. Get your $btc market update from @Tams707 here:https://t.co/twYdOVA0hW https://t.co/EXlj1yWjyL
  • Heads Up:🇺🇸 Fed Bostic Speech due at 19:15 GMT (15min) https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-04-13
  • Commodities Update: As of 18:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Silver: 2.28% Gold: 0.78% Oil - US Crude: 0.14% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/YIgPqIQiO8
Crude Oil Forecast – Keep an Eye on Channel as Correction Risk Rises

Crude Oil Forecast – Keep an Eye on Channel as Correction Risk Rises

Paul Robinson, Strategist

Crude Oil Technical Outlook:

  • WTI crude oil trading around 2019/20 highs
  • Up over 100% since November, correction may be due
  • Upward channel an important guide to watch
Advertisement

Crude Oil Forecast – Keep an Eye on Channel as Correction Risk Rises

WTI crude oil continues to rise within the confines a somewhat loose but steady channel. It is currently trading up against the 2019 and 2020 highs. This could prove to be a pivotal spot at a time when oil is up significantly without having had a meaningful correction.

The reversal the other day was powerful and indicates that sellers are in the area of the 2019/20 highs. The smallish bounce the past couple of days could turn into a failed attempt to advance, with potential to carve out a lower-high.

If this is the case, then the lower portion of the channel could be put to the test. A hold of the lower bounds would keep the trend intact while a break would be the first time the trend has come under fire since November. This could set into motion a broader correction or consolidation period.

From a tactical standpoint, crude oil is still steady at these levels. However, resistance is proving to be somewhat formidable at the moment and steady could quickly turn into weakness. Fresh longs don’t hold good risk/reward appeal, while existing longs may want to consider protecting the downside. Would-be shorts may gain the upper hand here, but do need to tread cautiously as the trend remains pointed higher. A breakout above 67.94 may accelerate the rise.

Oil Forecast
Oil Forecast
Recommended by Paul Robinson
Check out the Q1 OIL Forecast
Get My Guide

WTI Crude Oil Daily Chart (in channel around 2019/20 highs)

crude oil daily chart

Crude Oil Chart by TradingView

Resources for Forex Traders

Whether you are a new or experienced trader, we have several resources available to help you; indicator for tracking trader sentiment, quarterly trading forecasts, analytical and educational webinars held daily, trading guides to help you improve trading performance, and one specifically for those who are new to forex.

---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinsonFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES