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FTSE Chart Analysis – Lifting on Heels of Surge in S&P 500, but Not Meaningful

FTSE Chart Analysis – Lifting on Heels of Surge in S&P 500, but Not Meaningful

2018-11-29 09:04:00
Paul Robinson, Currency Strategist
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FTSE Technical Highlights:

  • FTSE starts day on positive note with help of Powell, S&P 500
  • Price action still sluggish, suggests market only digesting prior losses
  • Still in the works relatively soon; a weekly close below March/Oct lows is big trouble

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FTSE starts day on positive note with help of Powell, S&P 500

Yesterday, shortly after European trade closed Fed Chairman Powell delivered a speech where he eased up on the Fed’s hawkish tone, which sent U.S. markets spiraling higher and with it sympathy moves out of other major global markets to start today. But it may not last long, trend and market tone are still negative.

As of late the FTSE has been caught in a washing machine of choppy trading, making the past month or so difficult and also indicative of corrective price action of the last down-move during October. It is currently trying to cross a trend-line from September, one it was rejected from yesterday.

A break above may allow for the market to trade higher in the near-term. A move towards the top of the recent range in the 7155/96-area would provide a decent risk/reward spot for shorts. It’s also possible, depending on the timing, a run-in with the trend-line off the August peak could take shape, creating confluent resistance.

Trading up to those points of resistance, though, may even turn out to be a tall order given the overall weak tone to the market; hence why trading from the long-side right now holds little appeal from where I sit.

FTSE Daily Chart (Price action corrective of last down-move)

FTSE daily chart, price action corrective

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Scaling back to the longer-term chart, a weekly close below 6851 at some point down the road would be considered a big negative for the market as the bottom of the ‘RST’ pattern I’ve been pointing out the past few months would be gaining another leg of momentum towards a much large decline. More on that when it becomes more relevant again…

FTSE Weekly Chart (‘RST’ pattern still in effect)

FTSE weekly chart, 'RST' pattern still in effect

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---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at@PaulRobinsonFX

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