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S&P 500 Technical Update: Potentially Bearish Price Pattern Despite New Record

S&P 500 Technical Update: Potentially Bearish Price Pattern Despite New Record

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The S&P 500 posted another record high yesterday, but risk is growing that a set-back could be near. The price action over the past month consisting of new swing highs and lows marks growing instability in the trend that can lead to reversals. A Reverse Symmetrical Triangle (RST) also known as a “Megaphone”, mask reversal potential through new highs (or lows if in a downtrend).

Across the top of the pattern runs a trend-line from November, so it appears likely that if we are going to see a turn lower that it will develop very soon. A sharp break back through the old high at 3870 could be the kicker. A failure to quickly turn back higher following an initial decline will position the market to potentially test the March trend-line or worse. Will update on this pattern as things progress…

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S&P 500 Daily Chart (RST, top-side trend-line)

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---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at @PaulRobinsonFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.