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GBPUSD Price Slumps to a Four-Month Low on Brexit Disarray

GBPUSD Price Slumps to a Four-Month Low on Brexit Disarray

Nick Cawley, Senior Strategist

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Sterling (GBP) Price and Latest Brexit News:

  • Sterling falls to a multi-month low after Brexit talks break-up.
  • GBPUSD roiled by weak GBP, strong USD combination.

Q2 2019 GBP and USD Forecasts andTop Trading Opportunities

GBPUSD Down Nearly Three Cents on the Week as Bears Growl Louder

The political backdrop in the UK has become increasingly unstable after the latest cross-party talks fail to find any common ground, leaving UK PM Theresa May’s leadership untenable. After the talks broke down, Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn highlighted the ‘increasing weakness and instability’ of PM May’s administration, adding that despite detailed discussions without significant changes ‘we will continue to oppose the Government’s deal’. PM May recently said that she would present the Withdrawal Agreement to Parliament again early in June.

PM May’s position as Conservative Party leader also received another blow late Thursday when the 1922 Committee said that the Prime Minister must stand down by the end the end of June, at the latest, so the Conservative Party can elect a new leader before the end of July. The former Secretary of State Boris Johnson has now thrown his hat into the ring and has been installed as the favorite to lead the Conservative Party by most bookmakers.

GBPUSD has fallen from a weekly high of 1.3040 to a current level of 1.2755, the lowest price since mid-January, primarily on the ongoing political backlash and aided by a strong US dollar. If the January ‘spike’ low at 1.2670 is broken convincingly, then 1.2435 becomes a potential target. If GBPUSD trades below here the pair will be back at lows last seen in April 2017. This week’s sharp sell-off has caused the CCI indicator to sound an oversold warning which may temper further sharp downside action going into the weekend.

DailyFX Economic Calendar

GBPUSD Daily Price Chart (May 2018 – May 17, 2019)

Retail traders are 79.4% net-long GBPUSD according to the latest IG Client Sentiment Data. See how recent daily and weekly positional changes affect GBPUSD and currently give us a mixed trading bias.

Traders may be interested in two of our trading guides – Traits of Successful Traders and Top Trading Lessons – while technical analysts are likely to be interested in our latest Elliott Wave Guide.

What is your view on GBPUSD – bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author at nicholas.cawley@ig.com or via Twitter @nickcawley1.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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