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EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Euro Upswing Keeps Downtrend Intact

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Euro Upswing Keeps Downtrend Intact

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

EUR/USD Technical Strategy: NET SHORT AT 1.2276

  • Euro finds support near 1.15, launches rebound vs. US Dollar
  • Gains seen as corrective within broadly bearish long-term trend
  • Looking for signs of topping to add to short EUR/USD trade

See our free guide to get help building confidence in your EUR/USD trading strategy !

The Euro has mounted a spirited recovery against the US Dollar since finding a bottom near the 1.15 figure but the overall trend points firmly lower. Turning to the monthly chart, recent gains appear to be corrective within the confines of a decade-long decline resumed in early May.

Euro vs US Dollar chart - monthly

Sizing up immediate positioning, prices are poised to test the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1.1855. A break above that confirmed on a daily closing basis exposes the 1.1930-62 area, a congestion region reinforced by the 50% level. Near-term support is in the 1.1642-1.1723 zone.

Euro vs US Dollar chart - daily

The EUR/USD short position initiated at 1.2407 and subsequently scaled up above the 1.19 figure remains in play, with the upswing viewed as an opportunity to build short exposure further once trend resumption is confirmed. The net cost basis is 1.2276. A stop-loss will be triggered on a discretionary basis.

EUR/USD TRADING RESOURCES

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Ilya, use the comments section below or @IlyaSpivak on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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