News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Bullish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Bearish
More View more
Real Time News
  • The London trading session accounts for around 35% of total average forex turnover*, the largest amount relative to its peers. The London forex session overlaps with the New York session. Learn about trading the London forex session here: https://t.co/dWaWQ0MK1V https://t.co/BAUGbFNJ9d
  • IHS Markit “Services have once again been especially hard hit, but manufacturing has seen growth almost stall, blamed on a cocktail of COVID-19 and Brexit, which has led to increasingly widespread supply delays, rising costs and falling export" https://t.co/4lzdYJNqLu
  • 🇬🇧 Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI Flash (JAN) Actual: 38.8 Expected: 45 Previous: 49.4 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-22
  • 🇬🇧 Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Flash (JAN) Actual: 52.9 Expected: 54 Previous: 57.5 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-22
  • 🇬🇧 Markit/CIPS Composite PMI Flash (JAN) Actual: 40.6 Expected: 45.5 Previous: 50.4 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-22
  • Litecoin IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now at their most net-long Litecoin since Nov 25 when Litecoin traded near 81.55. A contrarian view of crowd sentiment points to Litecoin weakness. https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/48NRtK0I8O
  • Heads Up:🇬🇧 Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI Flash (JAN) due at 09:30 GMT (15min) Expected: 45 Previous: 49.4 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-22
  • Heads Up:🇬🇧 Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Flash (JAN) due at 09:30 GMT (15min) Expected: 54 Previous: 57.5 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-22
  • Heads Up:🇬🇧 Markit/CIPS Composite PMI Flash (JAN) due at 09:30 GMT (15min) Expected: 45.5 Previous: 50.4 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-22
  • 💶 Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash (JAN) Actual: 54.7 Expected: 54.5 Previous: 55.2 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-01-22
AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Aussie Dollar at Risk on Trend Break

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Aussie Dollar at Risk on Trend Break

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

AUD/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: BEARISH

  • Australian Dollar may be ready to resume 2020 downtrend vs. USD
  • Break of counter-trend support line puts 0.6214, 0.60 figure in focus
  • Trader sentiment studies warning sellers to proceed with caution

The Australian Dollar turned lower after testing trend resistance guiding the currency downward against its US counterpart since the start of the year, as expected. Prices have now broken rising counter-trend support set from the March swing low. That suggests that the dominant bearish bias is set to be reasserted after a corrective recovery has run its course.

From here, a break below below initial resistance-turned-support at 0.6214 – confirmed on a daily closing basis – seems likely to open the door for a challenge of the April 3 low at 0.5980. Neutralizing near-term selling pressure probably requires a daily close above the 0.6434-45 price congestion area, a move that would double as a break of falling trend resistance.

Australian Dollar vs US Dollar price chart - daily

AUD/USD daily chart created with TradingView

Turning to the four-hour chart for a glance at more immediate positioning, prices seem to be coiling up within a Descending Triangle chart formation after clearing two layers of upward-sloping support. The pattern typically carries bearish implications. Confirmation with a break below its lower bound as well as the 0.6200-14 region may set the stage for follow-through.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Aussie Dollar at Risk on Trend Break

AUD/USD 4-hour chart created with TradingView

Starts in:
Live now:
Jan 25
( 03:01 GMT )
Recommended by Ilya Spivak
Cross-Market Weekly Outlook
Register for webinar
Join now
Webinar has ended

AUD/USD TRADER SENTIMENT

Would-be sellers might be wise to proceed with caution however. Retail sentiment data shows 61.1% of traders are net-short, with the short-to-long ratio at 1.57 to 1. IG Client Sentiment (IGCS) is typically used as a contrarian indicator, so traders being net-short suggests a bullish AUD/USD trend bias. Further, the net-short skew has grown from yesterday and a week ago, bolstering the case for an upside scenario.

Australian Dollar vs US Dollar exchange rate, trader sentiment

See the full IGCS sentiment report here.

How to Use IG Client Sentiment in Your Trading
How to Use IG Client Sentiment in Your Trading
Recommended by Ilya Spivak
Improve your trading with IG Client Sentiment Data
Get My Guide

FX TRADING RESOURCES

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Ilya, use the comments section below or @IlyaSpivak on Twitter

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES