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Gold Price Forecast – XAU/USD Looking Lower in the Near-term

Gold Price Forecast – XAU/USD Looking Lower in the Near-term

Paul Robinson, Strategist

Gold Price Technical Outlook: Bearish

  • Gold looks likely to turn down again
  • Slope from March 2020 and major shelf near 1676 in focus

Gold Price Forecast – XAU/USD Remains Pointed Lower

Gold has been trying to string together a rally as of late, but its inability to get into gear suggests that recent strength is nothing more than a corrective move in an ongoing downtrend. Looking lower, there is a slope from March 2020 that will quickly come into focus.

The major level on the market’s mind is around 1676, a level that began as resistance just prior to the onset of the pandemic. Since then it has been used as support on numerous occasions, with the most recent test coming during the August flash-crash (actual low then was 1681).

From a tactical perspective, would-be shorts may want to use last week’s high at 1781 as a threshold for assessing risk on stop-losses. This would leave good risk/reward for trades should we see gold test the big level in question.

For would-be longs, it appears prudent to be patient and wait for a better set-up before trying to fight the current tone and trend of the market.

Gold Price Daily Chart

Gold Chart

Gold Chart by TradingView

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---Written by Paul Robinson, Market Analyst

You can follow Paul on Twitter at@PaulRobinsonFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.