News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • It’s important for traders to be familiar with FX spreads as they are the primary cost of trading currencies. Understand a pair's spread here: https://t.co/zEEUHZjVIG https://t.co/f6mraHu6zv
  • Technical analysis of charts aims to identify patterns and market trends by utilizing differing forms of technical chart types and other chart functions. Learn about the top three technical analysis tools here: https://t.co/KDjIjKWitK https://t.co/JMsJPQlQ3j
  • 🇳🇱 Consumer Confidence (SEP) Actual: -5 Previous: -6 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-22
  • A rough start to the week with the cryptocurrency market a sea of red with losses on either side of -10% a common sight.Get your market update from @nickcawley1 here:https://t.co/AUfuM9t7yw https://t.co/lU6HS7fHwr
  • RT @FxWestwater: Gold, Copper Forecast: XAU Eyes FOMC, Evergrande News Sends Copper Flying Link: https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/commodities/2021/09/22/Gold-Copper-Forecast-XAU-Eyes-FOMC-Evergrande-News-Sends-Copper-Flying.html?CHID=9&QPID=917708&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Westwater&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/x2sC…
  • Heads Up:🇳🇱 Consumer Confidence (SEP) due at 04:30 GMT (15min) Previous: -6 https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-22
  • PBoC liquidity injection + reports that Evergrande will make its next onshore bond payment ($35.88-million on 23 Sept) is bolstering risk appetite here. Yet, there is still no word on the $83.53-million offshore bond payment also due Thursday. Over to you now, Jpow & Co. https://t.co/3an0K2d5T1
  • Do you know how to properly Identify a double top formation? Double tops can enhance technical analysis when trading both forex or stocks, making the pattern highly versatile in nature. Learn more about the double top formation here: https://t.co/t9FlspUVZz https://t.co/ewdevfzq9I
  • Bank of Japan: - Outlook highly uncertain amid Covid - Asset purchase outline unchanged - Cuts assessment of production - exports, production impacted by supply side constraints - BBG
  • Heads Up:🇯🇵 BoJ Interest Rate Decision due at 03:00 GMT (15min) Previous: -0.1% https://www.dailyfx.com/economic-calendar#2021-09-22
Gold Price Boosted by Risk-Off Move, US Dollar May Hinder XAUUSD Rally Next Week

Gold Price Boosted by Risk-Off Move, US Dollar May Hinder XAUUSD Rally Next Week

Nick Cawley, Strategist

Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis, Price and Chart

  • Gold is pulling back from its recent low.
  • IG client sentiment and positioning suggest higher prices.
Advertisement

Gold is nudging higher as we go into the close, fuelled by a distinct risk-off move across a swathe of markets. The ongoing Brexit saga is reaching its endpoint with, at the moment, a no-deal outcome the likely scenario, adding to the risk-off sentiment, while friction between the US and China remains close beneath the surface. Equity markets across the globe also printed record rallies in November and the oft-talked about ‘Santa Rally’ may have happened one month early. And just to add further fuel to the fire - and probably the most important ongoing risk factor - Covid-19 numbers for both infections and fatalities continue to hit unwanted record highs, forcing countries across the world to impose further stringent, and economically damaging, lockdown measures.

How to Trade Gold: Top Gold Trading Strategies and Tips

Next week sees a few heavyweight data releases and events with the last FOMC meeting of the year probably the most important. It is widely expected that the Fed will either loosen monetary policy further to help strengthen the US economy or at the very least ramp up its dovish rhetoric in case of further economic headwinds.

This will leave the US dollar, and gold due to its relationship with the greenback, caught between two major drivers – a haven bid for the dollar as investors shun risk or further weakness in the USD due to Fed dovishness.

To learn more about moving averages, check out DailyFX Education

Gold has found some support this week from the 20-day simple moving average with the $1,820/oz. zone providing support slightly lower down. The upside is currently being blocked by the long-dated moving average at $1,846/oz. ahead of the 50-day sma at $1,871/oz. The mixed nature of the moving averages highlights the current market indecision.

Gold Daily Price Chart (March – December 11, 2020)

Gold Price Boosted by Risk-Off Move, US Dollar May Hinder XAUUSD Rally Next Week

IG retail trader data show 79.59% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 3.90 to 1.We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Gold prices may continue to fall.Yet traders are less net-long than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current Gold price trend may soon reverse higher despite the fact traders remain net-long.

What is your view on Gold – are you bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author via Twitter @nickcawley1.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES