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  • A pretty clean break from $SPX and other risk-sensitive assets are following along. As Hans Landa said in Inglorious Basterds: "Ooooooo. That's a Bingo"
  • US Dollar Index reaches a multi-month high as markets strike a risk-off tone $USD $DXY
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 93.13%, while traders in GBP/JPY are at opposite extremes with 70.14%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX:
  • EUR/USD sheds 40-pips in a matter of minutes as the US Dollar strengthens broadly. Get your $EURUSD market update from @RichDvorakFX here:
  • Well, I don't think Powell will temper interest/concern around central banks having to pullback in the foreseeable future. Both 'taper tantrum' and 'operation twist' search interest charging higher:
  • Indices Update: As of 19:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Germany 30: -0.86% FTSE 100: -1.20% France 40: -1.27% Wall Street: -2.32% US 500: -2.53% View the performance of all markets via
  • Nasdaq now down over 3% today, confirming 10% correction territory. $QQQ
  • $USDCHF has continued to strength today, now above the 0.9280 level, trading around the highs hit in late September. The pair has performed strongly since mid February as US rates have continued higher, rising from 0.8900 by nearly 400 pips to its current levels. $USD $CHF
  • Against the backdrop of rising bond yields, both the Bank of England and European Central Bank will meet over the next two weeks. Get your market update from @CVecchioFX here:
  • Oil - US Crude IG Client Sentiment: Our data shows traders are now at their least net-long Oil - US Crude since Jan 06 when Oil - US Crude traded near 5,008.80. A contrarian view of crowd sentiment points to Oil - US Crude strength.
Gold Price Boosted by Risk-Off Move, US Dollar May Hinder XAUUSD Rally Next Week

Gold Price Boosted by Risk-Off Move, US Dollar May Hinder XAUUSD Rally Next Week

Nick Cawley, Strategist

Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis, Price and Chart

  • Gold is pulling back from its recent low.
  • IG client sentiment and positioning suggest higher prices.

Gold is nudging higher as we go into the close, fuelled by a distinct risk-off move across a swathe of markets. The ongoing Brexit saga is reaching its endpoint with, at the moment, a no-deal outcome the likely scenario, adding to the risk-off sentiment, while friction between the US and China remains close beneath the surface. Equity markets across the globe also printed record rallies in November and the oft-talked about ‘Santa Rally’ may have happened one month early. And just to add further fuel to the fire - and probably the most important ongoing risk factor - Covid-19 numbers for both infections and fatalities continue to hit unwanted record highs, forcing countries across the world to impose further stringent, and economically damaging, lockdown measures.

How to Trade Gold: Top Gold Trading Strategies and Tips

Next week sees a few heavyweight data releases and events with the last FOMC meeting of the year probably the most important. It is widely expected that the Fed will either loosen monetary policy further to help strengthen the US economy or at the very least ramp up its dovish rhetoric in case of further economic headwinds.

This will leave the US dollar, and gold due to its relationship with the greenback, caught between two major drivers – a haven bid for the dollar as investors shun risk or further weakness in the USD due to Fed dovishness.

To learn more about moving averages, check out DailyFX Education

Gold has found some support this week from the 20-day simple moving average with the $1,820/oz. zone providing support slightly lower down. The upside is currently being blocked by the long-dated moving average at $1,846/oz. ahead of the 50-day sma at $1,871/oz. The mixed nature of the moving averages highlights the current market indecision.

Gold Daily Price Chart (March – December 11, 2020)

Gold Price Boosted by Risk-Off Move, US Dollar May Hinder XAUUSD Rally Next Week
Data provided by
of clients are net long. of clients are net short.
Change in Longs Shorts OI
Daily 2% -11% 0%
Weekly 3% -8% 1%
What does it mean for price action?
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IG retail trader data show 79.59% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 3.90 to 1.We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests Gold prices may continue to fall.Yet traders are less net-long than yesterday and compared with last week. Recent changes in sentiment warn that the current Gold price trend may soon reverse higher despite the fact traders remain net-long.

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What is your view on Gold – are you bullish or bearish?? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author via Twitter @nickcawley1.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.