Canadian Dollar Forecast: AUD/CAD, CAD/CHF Nearing Key Levels
Canadian Dollar, AUD/CAD, CAD/CHF - Talking Points
- Rising crude oil prices breathing life into Canadian Dollar
- AUD/CAD bulls winning fight against oil-boosted CAD
- CAD/CHF nearing a breakout on upper bound of triangle?
The Canadian Dollar is seeing inflows on rising crude oil prices this week. WTI prices are over 26% higher for November. Overall improvements in market sentiment on vaccine headlines have boosted the commodity as the economic outlook cleared. The lift in energy prices is well reflected across oil-sensitive Canadian Dollar currency pairs.
The Australian Dollar continues to gain against the Canadian Dollar despite the rise in WTI. The move higher is partly explained by the risk-sensitive Aussie, reflecting current upbeat market sentiment amid Covid vaccine headlines and improving economic outlook prospects.
AUD/CAD recently saw a bullish technical signal form with the 20-day Moving Average (MA) crossing above its 50-day one. The pair has now cleared the October closing high and is aiming to test the lower end of a resistance range seen from July to September of this year. However, previously tested trendline resistance from the 2018 swing high may challenge further movement to the upside.
AUD/CAD Daily Price Chart
Chart created with TradingView
The Canadian Dollar is faring much better against the anti-risk Swiss Franc. Unlike the Aussie, safe-haven outflows from the Franc appear to be having a bullish impact on CAD/CHF as traders unwind safety-linked assets. The compounding effect from the risk-on mood and rising oil prices will likely be a short-to-mid-term boon for the pair.
Earlier this month, CAD/CHF climbed above its 200-day MA. Now, with the 50-day MA on the move higher, a Golden-Cross appears to be nearing formation. The pair has also been trading within a Symmetrical Triangle and is approaching the upper range of the pattern. A move higher would likely signal a breakout and bolster bullishness.
CAD/CHF Daily Price Chart
Chart Created with TradingView
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--- Written by Thomas Westwater, Analyst for DailyFX.com
To contact Thomas, use the comments section below or @FxWestwateron Twitter
DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.