News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
EUR/USD
Mixed
Oil - US Crude
Bullish
Wall Street
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Gold
Bullish
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
More View more
Real Time News
  • Emotions are often a key driving force behind FOMO. If left unchecked, they can lead traders to neglect trading plans and exceed comfortable levels of risk. Read on and get your emotions in check here: https://t.co/eILWbFgHRE https://t.co/pSeSiNnmHe
  • There are three major forex trading sessions which comprise the 24-hour market: the London session, the US session and the Asian session. Learn about the characteristics of each session here: https://t.co/reRmDe1Ksp https://t.co/iVOEuK40rn
  • Implementing a trading checklist is a vital part of the trading process because it helps traders to stay disciplined, stick to the trading plan, and builds confidence. Learn how to stick to the plan, stay disciplined, and use a checklist here: https://t.co/SQUCCYRCIk https://t.co/ltEO5dpKux
  • WTI crude oil is currently trading up against major resistance via the 2019 and 2020 highs within the confines of a channel; something has to give. Get your market update from @PaulRobinsonFX here: https://t.co/MO9foRjm2y https://t.co/YhBFdvZDEb
  • The Dow Jones and S&P 500 outlook appears bleak in the near term as retail traders increase their upside exposure. At the same time, these indices confirmed bearish technical warning signs. Get your market update from @ddubrovskyFX here:https://t.co/fKCHELbOxo https://t.co/eVDwmFTaIg
  • Use this technical analysis pattern recognition skills test to sharpen your knowledge: https://t.co/Qgz89PTxnu https://t.co/8B8hqHahm1
  • The US Dollar finished off an eventful week after CPI and retail sales injected volatility into markets. FOMC is now in the Greenback’s sights as taper talks linger. Get your market update from @FxWestwater here: https://t.co/MHi0lfQ93j https://t.co/4XetwYAaNd
  • Get your snapshot update of the of market open and closing times for each major trading hub around the globe here: https://t.co/BgZLFljIhZ https://t.co/ZZRLV0Wkea
  • The Nasdaq 100 index has likely formed a bearish Gartley pattern, which hints at further downside potential. Negative MACD divergence on the weekly chart suggests that upward momentum may be fading. Get your market update from @margaretyjy here: https://t.co/GkMEkVA7YR https://t.co/E1vyCMVt6K
  • Struggling to define key levels? Floor-Trader Pivots assist traders in identifying areas in a chart where price is likely to approach and can be used to set appropriate targets, while effectively managing risk. Learn how to use this indicator here: https://t.co/Ye4m1G4lMu https://t.co/2TpkkUu7Hg
EURGBP Extends Winning Streak as Brexit Uncertainty Weighs

EURGBP Extends Winning Streak as Brexit Uncertainty Weighs

Peter Hanks, Strategist

EURGBP Price Outlook:

EURGBP Extends Winning Streak as Brexit Uncertainty Weighs

On the back of renewed Brexit uncertainty, EURGBP has staged an incredible rally over the last 9 trading days, surging from 0.8492 to 0.8748. The streak is the longest for EURGBP since the end of 2008 when the pair matched the current run. Beyond that, there has only been one bullish streak longer than 9 sessions since 1999, a 10-day rally in September 2007.

EURGBP Consecutive Candle Count, Daily (Chart 1)

eurgbp price chart rally

In Thursday’s session, the pair has backed off 0.8750 after probing the 23.6% Fib retracement from July 2015 lows to August 2017 highs. Coupled with technical resistance, Theresa May has reportedly said she will set her timeline to stepdown from her position in June. With a concrete date, Sterling may see a brief reprieve as it slides against most counterparts. That said, retail clients remain overwhelmingly short EURGBP – despite the considerable rally to 3-month highs.

EURGBP Price Chart: Daily Time Frame (June 2017 – May 2019) (Chart 2)

EURGBP price chart

Retail trader data shows 30.4% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 2.29 to 1. The number of traders net-long is 15.1% lower than yesterday and 38.6% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 3.0% higher than yesterday and 45.2% higher from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests EURGBP prices may continue to rise. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger EURGBP-bullish contrarian trading bias.

EURGBP IG Client Positioning (Chart 3)

eurgbp price chart traders

IG clients have been net-short the pair during the latter half of the streak as they attempt to call the top. To learn more about sentiment data and how to use it in your trading, sign up for my sentiment walkthrough webinar later today. Aside from the bullish contrarian signal, persistent uncertainty around Brexit will continue to erode confidence in the Pound as the Euro looks to add to its streak.

--Written by Peter Hanks, Junior Analyst for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow Peter on Twitter @PeterHanksFX

Read more: GBP/JPY Price Outlook: Further Bearish Momentum Hints at 139.00

DailyFX forecasts on a variety of currencies such as the US Dollar or the Euro are available from the DailyFX Trading Guides page. If you’re looking to improve your trading approach, check out Traits of Successful Traders. And if you’re looking for an introductory primer to the Forex market, check out our New to FX Guide.

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES