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Weekly Trading Forecast: How Long can the US Dollar Defy Gravity?

Weekly Trading Forecast: How Long can the US Dollar Defy Gravity?

The US Dollar trades near major highs versus the Euro and other major FX counterparts as interest rate expectations remain center-stage. But further gains are hardly guaranteed—here are risks to watch.

US Dollar Forecast – US Dollar Remains in Control, but Can it Really Hold its Gains

The US Dollar rallied to fresh multi-month highs versus the Euro and other major counterparts as investors bought into the previous week’s breakout.

Euro Forecast - EUR/USD Direction Next Few Days Contingent on EZ CPI, ECB Speeches

This week – with its twelve ECB policymaker events – provides plenty of opportunity for clarification of what changes the ECB might make at its December policy meeting.

British Pound Forecast – GBP/USD Bounces Up to a Lower High Ahead of UK Inflation Data

Last week, my colleague David Song reiterated our Bearish forecast on the British Pound, citing the dovish tone taken by the Bank of England during Super Thursday and the fact that it looked as though the Sterling was going to continue getting hit by depressed rate expectations moving forward.

Japanese Yen Forecast – USD/JPY Stuck in Continuation Pattern Ahead of Japan GDP, BoJ Meeting

The long-term outlook for USD/JPY remains bullish as the Federal Reserve remains on course to remove the zero-interest rate policy (ZIRP), but the key developments coming out of Japan may produce a larger correction in the exchange rate should the Bank of Japan (BoJ) continue to endorse a wait-and-see approach at the November 19 interest rate decision.

Canadian Dollar Forecast – CAD Unable to Prevent Slide As Crude Oil Breaks Support

The Canadian Dollar witnessed a strong drop in the second half of the week thanks in large part to a massive build in DoE and API Crude Oil Inventories this week.

Australian Dollar Forecast – Australian Dollar May Stall on FOMC Minutes, US CPI

The Australian Dollar mounted a spirited recovery against its US counterpart last week but bets on a widening Fed vs. RBA policy divergence may prove the move short-lived.

New Zealand Dollar Forecast – Fonterra Milk Auction To Put Spotlight on RBNZ’s Next Move

Halfway through the month of November, the New Zealand Dollar has retraced much of its October gains.

Gold Forecast – Gold: Here’s What to Look for After this Historic Run

Gold prices fell for a fourth consecutive week with the precious metal down nearly 0.3% to trade at 1081 ahead of the New York close on Friday.

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