News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. See our updated Privacy Policy here.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
Subscribe
Please try again
More View more
Real Time News
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 93.68%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 78.98%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/yK7jFjbjiP
  • Recessions can devastate the economy and disrupt the fortunes of individuals, businesses, and investors. But economic decline in the business cycle is inevitable, and your trading can be defined by how you respond to crisis. learn how to prepare here: https://t.co/e4CnobJCss https://t.co/zw2CgDfc4p
  • Indices Update: As of 18:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Wall Street: 0.56% US 500: 0.46% FTSE 100: 0.06% Germany 30: 0.03% France 40: -0.10% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#indices https://t.co/GZ4XjZmV4f
  • $Ether is having a morning, up ~11% from the earlier lows big zone of resistance lurking overhead $ETH decent definition along this fibo retracement https://t.co/Pt7MejiGdH https://t.co/6fPzl667se
  • Crude oil attempting to muscle its way higher and invalidate the short-term bearish trend #OOTT $USO $CL_F https://t.co/TBjLR5SjET
  • As the BoE are expected to maintain current policy settings with the bank rate at 0.1% and APF at £895bln. The focus will be on the accompanying statement and projections. Get your market update from @JMcQueenFX here:https://t.co/AOvhRkoOFO https://t.co/prSL9VPFqV
  • $EURUSD too clean for comfort, esp with #NFP on the horizon https://t.co/W6MjdfHWUW
  • IG Client Sentiment Update: Our data shows the vast majority of traders in Silver are long at 93.70%, while traders in France 40 are at opposite extremes with 79.47%. See the summary chart below and full details and charts on DailyFX: https://www.dailyfx.com/sentiment https://t.co/Su4dGQMLg4
  • The primary point of worry for the FOMC is labor and tomorrow brings the July NFP report out of the United States. Get your market update from @JStanleyFX here:https://t.co/fur0ydizSn https://t.co/dcKE8AQ7iC
  • Commodities Update: As of 16:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: Oil - US Crude: 1.01% Gold: -0.32% Silver: -0.47% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#commodities https://t.co/g6LLOsLFrU
Nasdaq 100 Index Carving Out Bull Pennant Ahead of US Inflation Data

Nasdaq 100 Index Carving Out Bull Pennant Ahead of US Inflation Data

Daniel Moss, Analyst

Nasdaq 100, Covid-19 Vaccine, Biden Administration, Sectoral Rotation – Talking Points:

  • Equity markets broadly slid lower during APAC trade.
  • Fading vaccine optimism may fuel rotation back into technology sector.
  • Nasdaq 100 index carving out Bull Pennant formation. Is a topside break in the offing?
Advertisement

Asia-Pacific Recap

The rally across global equity markets seemed to pause for breath during Asia-Pacific trade, as investors digested the worrying increase of coronavirus infection in several developed nations. Australia’s ASX 200 index slipped 0.49% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index fell 0.24%.

The haven-associated US Dollar and Japanese Yen gained ground against their major counterparts, while the cyclically-sensitive AUD, CAD and NOK largely underperformed. Crude oil prices nudged marginally higher on the possibility that OPEC will extend output cuts.

Looking ahead, Euro-area industrial production figures for September and US inflation data for October headline the economic docket.

Nasdaq 100 Index Carving Out Bull Pennant Ahead of US Inflation Data

DailyFX Economic Calendar

Tech Stocks Positioned to Outperform

The recent rotation away from the technology sector and into value stocks, on the back of positive vaccine progress, may prove short-lived.

Investors have piled into value stocks in recent days after the vaccine developed by Pfizer and BioNTech proved to be 90% effective in protecting people from the novel coronavirus. This buoyed corporations with more traditional business models and, given the US just registered a record 144,000 new cases of Covid-19, is of course great news.

Nasdaq 100 Index Carving Out Bull Pennant Ahead of US Inflation Data

Source - Worldometer

However, with the shots requiring a storage temperature of -70 degrees Celsius and two doses needed to successfully inoculate a subject, there is a distinct possibility that distribution of this vaccine will be limited. This reality may temper the current sectoral rotation and direct capital back into technology stocks.

Moreover, the potential implementation of targeted lockdown measures under a Biden administration could also put a premium on tech companies. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 has vastly outperformed its US benchmark counterparts since the March nadir, climbing 88% while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones rose 65% and 64% respectively.

Therefore, the current fundamental backdrop may continue to advantage restriction-resilient technology companies and buoy the Nasdaq 100 index in the medium-term.

Nasdaq 100 Futures Daily Chart – Consolidating in Bull Pennant

Nasdaq 100 Index Carving Out Bull Pennant Ahead of US Inflation Data

Nasdaq 100 index futures daily chart created using TradingView

The technical outlook for the Nasdaq 100 index remains skewed to the topside, as price carves out a Bull Pennant continuation pattern.

With price perched constructively above all four moving averages and both the RSI and MACD indicator tracking firmly above their respective neutral midpoints, the path of least resistance appears to favour the upside.

A daily close above the October high (12262) may neutralize selling pressure and carve a path to challenge the yearly high (12466) set in September. Pushing through that would probably bring the 78.6% Fibonacci (12637) into play and signal the resumption of the primary uptrend.

Alternatively, breaking through confluent support at the 50-DMA and August 19 high (11441) could open the door for a challenge of pennant support and the 100-DMA (11252).

Nasdaq 100 Futures 4-Hour Chart - Holding Above Key Support

Nasdaq 100 Index Carving Out Bull Pennant Ahead of US Inflation Data

Nasdaq 100 futures 4-hour chart created using TradingView

Zooming into the daily chart bolsters the bullish outlook depicted on the monthly timeframe. Prices attempted to break higher after clearing pennant resistance however, the move was cut short by Schiff Pitchfork resistance and psychological resistance at 12400.

This ignited an aggressive short-term correction towards the sentiment-defining 200-MA (11624). Tellingly, prices held above the 61.8% Fibonacci (11516), suggesting that a continued topside push is on the cards.

A burst above the 21-MA (11891) may invite follow-through and clear a path towards 12000. Hurdling that brings the November 9 high (12418) back into focus.

Conversely, falling through the support range at 11750 – 11800 could precipitate a pullback towards the 100-MA (11609).

-- Written by Daniel Moss, Analyst for DailyFX

Follow me on Twitter @DanielGMoss

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES