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British Pound Unlikely to Find Fuel in Bank of England Rate Decision

British Pound Unlikely to Find Fuel in Bank of England Rate Decision

Ilya Spivak, Head Strategist, APAC

Talking Points:

  • British Pound May Not Find Fuel in Bank of England Policy Announcement
  • Yen Declines, Aussie and NZ Dollars Gain as Risk Appetite Swells Overnight
  • See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App

A monetary policy announcement from the Bank of England headlines the economic calendar in European trading hours. While UK economic news-flow has cautiously improved since December’s sit-down, the outlook is not so robust as to expect the hawks to build the voting majority needed to produce a hike. Indeed, futures pricing implies the first increase in the benchmark lending rate will not arrive until the fourth quarter. The BOE typically doesn’t publish a statement when policy is left unchanged, so today’s announcement will probably amount to a non-event for the British Pound.

The safety-linked Japanese Yen slumped while the sentiment-geared Australian and New Zealand Dollars staged an impressive advance in overnight trade as risk appetite firmed. The MSCI Asia Pacific regional benchmark stock index rose 1.2 percent. The move appeared to follow on from a recovery on Wall Street, where the S&P 500 snapped a losing streak to produce the largest advance in three weeks. The move higher appeared corrective following five days consecutive down days rather than inspired by minutes from December’s FOMC meeting or an upbeat set of economic data outcomes, as the newswires suggested.

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Asia Session

GMT

CCY

EVENT

ACT

EXP

PREV

0:30

AUD

Building Approvals (MoM) (NOV)

7.5%

-3.0%

11.5%

0:30

AUD

Building Approvals (YoY) (NOV)

10.1%

1.2%

2.1%

2:00

JPY

Tokyo Avg Office Vacancies (%) (DEC)

5.47

-

5.55

5:30

AUD

Foreign Reserves (A$) (DEC)

65.7B

-

61.7B

European Session

GMT

CCY

EVENT

EXP/ACT

PREV

IMPACT

7:00

EUR

German Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) (NOV)

-0.4% (A)

2.4%

Medium

7:00

EUR

German Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) (NOV)

-2.4% (A)

2.5%

Medium

8:00

GBP

Halifax House Prices s.a. (MoM) (DEC)

0.3%

0.4%

Low

8:00

GBP

Halifax House Price (3M/Y) (DEC)

7.6%

8.2%

Low

10:00

EUR

Eurozone PPI (MoM) (NOV)

-0.1%

-0.4%

Low

10:00

EUR

Eurozone PPI (YoY) (NOV)

-1.4%

-1.3%

Low

10:00

EUR

Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) (NOV)

0.2%

0.4%

Medium

10:00

EUR

Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) (NOV)

0.2%

1.4%

Medium

10:00

EUR

Eurozone Industrial Confidence (DEC)

-4.0

-4.3

Low

10:00

EUR

Eurozone Business Climate Indicator (DEC)

0.17

0.18

Low

10:00

EUR

Eurozone Services Confidence (DEC)

4.6

4.4

Low

10:00

EUR

Eurozone Economic Confidence (DEC)

101.2

100.8

Low

10:00

EUR

Eurozone Consumer Confidence (DEC F)

-10.9

-10.9

Medium

12:00

GBP

BOE Asset Purchase Target

375B

375B

High

12:00

GBP

Bank of England Rate Decision

0.50%

0.50%

High

Critical Levels

CCY

Supp 3

Supp 2

Supp 1

Pivot Point

Res 1

Res 2

Res 3

EURUSD

1.1656

1.1751

1.1795

1.1846

1.1890

1.1941

1.2036

GBPUSD

1.4905

1.5006

1.5058

1.5107

1.5159

1.5208

1.5309

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

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