News & Analysis at your fingertips.

We use a range of cookies to give you the best possible browsing experience. By continuing to use this website, you agree to our use of cookies.
You can learn more about our cookie policy here, or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site.

0

Notifications

Notifications below are based on filters which can be adjusted via Economic and Webinar Calendar pages.

Live Webinar

Live Webinar Events

0

Economic Calendar

Economic Calendar Events

0
Free Trading Guides
EUR/USD
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Oil - US Crude
Bearish
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
Wall Street
Bearish
Gold
Mixed
Low
High
of clients are net long.
of clients are net short.
Long Short

Note: Low and High figures are for the trading day.

Data provided by
GBP/USD
Mixed
USD/JPY
Mixed
More View more
Real Time News
  • GDP (Gross Domestic Product) economic data is deemed highly significant in the forex market. GDP figures are used as an indicator by fundamentalists to gauge the overall health and potential growth of a country. Learn use GDP data to your advantage here: https://t.co/38gTDn8ejP https://t.co/FBT1eSZdjF
  • There’s a strong correlation between interest rates and forex trading. Forex is ruled by many variables, but the interest rate of the currency is the fundamental factor that prevails above them all. Learn how interest rates impact currency markets here: https://t.co/ERyiY47G5H https://t.co/LRL1iD3JDt
  • Even though the Australian Dollar lost some ground this week, support levels held. Bearish developments are brewing in $AUDUSD and $AUDJPY but remain unconfirmed. What else does #AUD face ahead technically? - https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/article/fx_technical_weekly/2020/10/24/Australian-Dollar-Technical-Forecast-AUDUSD-AUDJPY-EURAUD-GBPAUD.html?CHID=9&QPID=917702&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Dubrovsky&utm_campaign=twr https://t.co/0gHyXW1vHh
  • Forex sentiment analysis can be a useful tool to help traders understand and act on price behavior. Learn how to get the most out of understanding trader sentiment here: https://t.co/LjEjTexrCg https://t.co/9qcanKW0uT
  • Third wave? We haven’t beaten the first wave. Until the virus is under control, the US economy won’t be able to properly heal, plain & simple. The lack of a competent response saps courage. Defeat the virus, then get people back to work. In that order. https://t.co/8R8IyTZejM
  • The British Pound may fall if EU and UK negotiators fail to reach a consensus as the December 31 deadline nears. The third presidential debate is on deck, how might markets react? Find out from @ZabelinDimitri here:https://t.co/kDSYzBDA3t https://t.co/80xL2Hyat7
  • The #Fed b/s hit a record high USD ~7.18T this week! Been awhile since I last did an update so here it is! I smoothened out analysis by using 4W moving averages You can see how into summer #SP500 growth 👇 as the b/s 👇 Since then it flipped until recent fiscal talk jitters https://t.co/4AESBo99dl
  • The US Dollar is losing ground against ASEAN FX, with USD/SGD and USD/IDR possibly readying to extend declines. Will USD/PHP and USD/MYR follow? Find out from @ddubrovskyFX here: https://t.co/l705RWumj5 https://t.co/wySomzNGbm
  • RT @FxWestwater: #Copper Price Forecast: US Q3 GDP and Chinese PMI in Focus - via @DailyFX https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2020/10/23/Copper-Price-Forecast-US-Q3-GDP-and-Chinese-PMI-in-Focus.html https://t.co/SV0GskVO…
  • Forex Update: As of 20:00, these are your best and worst performers based on the London trading schedule: 🇪🇺EUR: 0.35% 🇨🇭CHF: 0.32% 🇦🇺AUD: 0.28% 🇯🇵JPY: 0.13% 🇨🇦CAD: 0.09% 🇬🇧GBP: -0.29% View the performance of all markets via https://www.dailyfx.com/forex-rates#currencies https://t.co/RXxjsCy8rA
USD Bounces, EUR/USD Dives Ahead of the ECB: Will They Deliver?

USD Bounces, EUR/USD Dives Ahead of the ECB: Will They Deliver?

2019-09-11 12:37:00
James Stanley, Strategist
Share:

US Dollar, EUR/USD Talking Points:

  • Tomorrow brings the September ECB rate decision with the wide expectation for a rate cut deeper into negative territory.
  • The EUR/USD has posed a downside push ahead of the rate decision, re-testing the psychological level at 1.1000 to go along with a firm bounce in the US Dollar.
  • DailyFX Forecasts are published on a variety of markets such as Gold, the US Dollar or the Euro and are available from the DailyFX Trading Guides page. If you’re looking to improve your trading approach, check out Traits of Successful Traders. And if you’re looking for an introductory primer to the Forex market, check out our New to FX Guide.

September ECB On Deck

We’re now less than 24 hours away from the September ECB rate decision. There’s already been a range of ideas thrown out by ECB members as to what can be expected tomorrow. Just hours after the July rate decision a ‘source’ indicated that the bank had pretty much agreed on another cut deeper into negative territory at tomorrow’s meeting. Since then, the main topic of interest has been QE, with hints in both directions that a) the bank may be soon considering something in that realm and b) that it’s far too early to be discussing such matters. Accenting the backdrop is the fact that Mario Draghi’s tenure atop the bank is winding down and incoming ECB President Christine Lagarde is set to soon take-over, making for an inopportune time to institute new highly-experimental monetary methods that a new President will have to manage.

A day ahead of the rate decision and some trends have already shown around this theme. The US Dollar has caught a bounce as EUR/USD has driven back-down to the 1.1000 handle.

EUR/USD Two-Hour Price Chart

eurusd two hour price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; EURUSD on Tradingview

The US Dollar Bounces Ahead of ECB, FOMC

Going along with this stern drop in the EUR/USD has been a vivid bounce in the US Dollar. The US Dollar came into the week on its back foot following an aggressive push-lower last week, and next week’s FOMC rate decision looms large on the economic calendar. Of recent, expectations for rate cuts around the Fed have been diminishing and the big item of interest is the bank’s Summary of Economic Projections due at this quarterly meeting. The Fed cut rates in July for the first time in a decade but, as yet, haven’t provided updated projections for their forward-looking plans.

US Dollar Daily Price Chart

us dollar daily price chart

Chart prepared by James Stanley; US Dollar on Tradingview

To read more:

Are you looking for longer-term analysis on the U.S. Dollar? Our DailyFX Forecasts have a section for each major currency, and we also offer a plethora of resources on Gold or USD-pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD. Traders can also stay up with near-term positioning via our IG Client Sentiment Indicator.

Forex Trading Resources

DailyFX offers an abundance of tools, indicators and resources to help traders. For those looking for trading ideas, our IG Client Sentiment shows the positioning of retail traders with actual live trades and positions. Our trading guides bring our DailyFX Quarterly Forecasts and our Top Trading Opportunities; and our real-time news feed has intra-day interactions from the DailyFX team. And if you’re looking for real-time analysis, our DailyFX Webinars offer numerous sessions each week in which you can see how and why we’re looking at what we’re looking at.

If you’re looking for educational information, our New to FX guide is there to help new(er) traders while our Traits of Successful Traders research is built to help sharpen the skill set by focusing on risk and trade management.

--- Written by James Stanley, Strategist for DailyFX.com

Contact and follow James on Twitter: @JStanleyFX

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES